Premier League
Premier League England
22.08.2026 14:00 UTC
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Premier League

England

Everton - Crystal Palace

England Futbol
Everton
Everton
- : -
Not started
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Crystal Palace 22 августа 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Everton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.12 / X 3.55 / 2 3.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 45.0%
X 26.9%
2 28.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Everton - Crystal Palace

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.40 Fonbet · line only
X 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1 2.12 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.32 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.35 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.35 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.45 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.35 74.1%
x2 1.75 57.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 +1 1.11 90.1%
П1 +1.5 1.08 92.6%
П1 -1 2.95 33.9%
П1 -1.5 3.65 27.4%
П1 -2 6.70 14.9%
П1 -2.5 7.70 13.0%
П1 0 1.55 64.5%
П2 +1 5.30 18.9%
П2 +1.5 6.00 16.7%
П2 -1 1.35 74.1%
П2 -1.5 1.25 80.0%
П2 -2 1.06 94.3%
П2 -2.5 1.04 96.2%
П2 0 2.45 40.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 0.5 1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1 1.04 96.2%
ТБ 1.5 1.22 82.0%
ТБ 2 1.35 74.1%
ТБ 2.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 3 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 3.5 2.75 36.4%
ТБ 4 4.30 23.3%
ТБ 4.5 4.90 20.4%
ТМ 0.5 9.00 11.1%
ТМ 1 7.70 13.0%
ТМ 1.5 3.85 26.0%
ТМ 2 3.00 33.3%
ТМ 2.5 2.00 50.0%
ТМ 3 1.60 62.5%
ТМ 3.5 1.40 71.4%
ТМ 4 1.16 86.2%
ТМ 4.5 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Everton
L L D D L
24.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
17.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:3 SunderlandSunderland
10.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
04.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 3:3 Manchester CityManchester City
25.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:2 West HamWest Ham
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
2 Points
Crystal Palace
L D L D L
24.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:2 ArsenalArsenal
17.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:2 BrentfordBrentford
13.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:3 Manchester CityManchester City
10.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:2 EvertonEverton
03.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:3 BournemouthBournemouth
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.4 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Crystal Palace

Everton
3 matches total
Crystal Palace
Everton: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Crystal Palace: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Everton 2:1 (05.10 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 10.05 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (10.05 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

6 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 6

Match history

10.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Everton
2:2
Kristal Pelas
05.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Everton
2:1
Kristal Pelas
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton
2:1
Kristal Pelas