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23.08.2026 13:00 UTC
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23.08.2026 13:00 UTC
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Premier League
Manchester City - Bournemouth
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Manchester City - Bournemouth August 23, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.45 / X 5.10 / 2 6.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.7%
1
65.9%
X
18.7%
2
15.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Manchester City - Bournemouth
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
3
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.20
Fonbet · line only
X
5.10
Fonbet · line only
1
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.18
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.14
Fonbet · line only
X2
2.80
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
2.18
Fonbet · line only
2 0
4.30
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.65
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.16
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.40
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.75
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.30
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.57
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.30 43.5% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% |
| 1x | 1.14 87.7% |
| x2 | 2.80 35.7% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 2.10 47.6% | |
| 2.70 37.0% | |
| 3.25 30.8% | |
| 5.00 20.0% | |
| 5.60 17.9% | |
| 1.16 86.2% | |
| 2.18 45.9% | |
| 1.73 57.8% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.12 89.3% | |
| 1.09 91.7% | |
| 4.30 23.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1 | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 2 | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 3 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.98 50.5% |
| Over 4 | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 4.5 | 2.95 33.9% |
| Over 5 | 4.50 22.2% |
| Over 5.5 | 5.00 20.0% |
| Under 0.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 4.90 20.4% |
| Under 2 | 4.20 23.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.75 36.4% |
| Under 3 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
Match center
Manchester City
L
D
W
W
D
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Manchester City
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Aston Villa
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Manchester City
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Everton
Everton
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.2
Conceded
8
Points
Bournemouth
D
D
W
W
D
24.05 15:00 UTC
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Bournemouth
1:1
Nottingem Forest
Nottingem Forest
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Fulham
03.05 13:00 UTC
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3:0
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Kristal Pelas
22.04 19:00 UTC
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Leeds
Leeds
2
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.8
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Bournemouth
Manchester City
3
matches total
Manchester City: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Bournemouth: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Manchester City 3:1 (02.11 16:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (3:1, 02.11 16:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (19.05 18:30 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
19.05 18:30 UTC
Premier League
Premier League
Manchester City
1:1
Bournemouth
02.11 16:30 UTC
Premier League
Premier League
Manchester City
3:1
Bournemouth
20.05 19:00 UTC
Premier League
Premier League
Manchester City
3:1
Bournemouth
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