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Primera División
Primera División Chile
02.04.2026 21:00 UTC 8 round
Finished

Primera División

Chile

U. Catolica - Palestino

Chile Football
U. Catolica
U. Catolica
6 : 1
Finished
Palestino
Palestino

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction U. Catolica - Palestino April 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like U. Catolica.

Line favourite market consensus: U. Catolica. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.83 / X 3.64 / 2 3.98
  • 1X2 market: U. Catolica 50.9% / X 25.6% / Palestino 23.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2%
1 51.0%
X 25.6%
2 23.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 50.3%
Under 2.5 49.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.04.2026 21:00 UTC
Match center

U. Catolica - Palestino

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Universidad Katolika - Palestino, 3 aprelya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Chile po futbolu (Primera) 2026, 8 round. Universidad Katolika - Palestino, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.98 market consensus · line only
X 3.64 market consensus · line only
1 1.83 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.91 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.91 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Betano Betfair Dafabet
1.82 55.0% 1.86 53.8% 1.81 55.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.68 27.2% 3.80 26.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0%
4.00 25.0% 3.75 26.7% 4.04 24.8% 4.00 25.0% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Betano Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 1.87 53.5%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Betano Betfair Marathonbet Unibet
draw_away 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.98 50.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.27 78.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1% 1.23 81.3%
Over 1.75 1.28 78.1%
Over 2.0 1.38 72.5%
Over 2.25 1.61 62.1%
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6% 1.92 52.1%
Over 3.5 3.00 33.3%
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 3.55 28.2%
Under 2.5 1.93 51.8% 1.96 51.0%
Under 3.5 1.36 73.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyU. Catolica - Palestino

U. Catolica
0 matches total
Palestino
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 U. Catolica
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Palestino
U. Catolica Team comparison Palestino
7 Games 7
3 Wins 2
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
13 Scored 11
10 Conceded 11
11 Points 8
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
5.29 Shots on target 5.43
Universidad Katolika 23 round Goly Khusto Dzhani 1:0 9' Sesar Munder Nelson Da Silva 1 22' Matias Palavecino Klemente Montes 2:1 32' Khusto Dzhani 3:1 63' Fernando Sampedri Matias Palavecino 4:1 66' Klemente Montes Kristian Kuevas 5:1 72' Fernando Sampedri Kristian Kuevas 6:1 90' Nakazaniya Sebastian Gallegos 1' Francisco Montes 15' Julian Fernandez 31' Kristian Kuevas 40' Vicente Espinoza 41' Julian Fernandez 45' Jonathan Benitez 78'

Universidad Katolika Palestino 7 Games 7 3 Wins 2 Draws 2 Losses 3 13 Scored 11 10 Conceded 11 Points 8 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 5.29 Udary v stvor 5.43 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.43 Uglovye 4.14 2 Offsaydy 1.29 12.43 Foly 12.71 58.86 % vladeniya myachom 53.57 3.71 Warnings 3.43 0.29 Sendoffs 0.14 Sleduyuschiy match 13.09.2026 Chile — Primera Palestino –:– Universidad Katolika 23 round Goly Khusto Dzhani 1:0 9' Sesar Munder Nelson Da Silva 1 22' Matias Palavecino Klemente Montes 2:1 32' Khusto Dzhani 3:1 63' Fernando Sampedri Matias Palavecino 4:1 66' Klemente Montes Kristian Kuevas 5:1 72' Fernando Sampedri Kristian Kuevas 6:1 90' Nakazaniya Sebastian Gallegos 1' Francisco Montes 15' Julian Fernandez 31' Kristian Kuevas 40' Vicente Espinoza 41' Julian Fernandez 45' Jonathan Benitez 78'