Friendly Games. Russian Clubs

15-й тур 04.07.2026 12:30 UTC Match prediction

04.07.2026 12:30 UTC 15-й тур

Finished

Friendly Games. Russian Clubs

Astrakhan - Zarya Lugansk

Futbol

Astrakhan

1 : 2

Finished

Zarya Lugansk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Astrakhan - Zarya Lugansk 4 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zarya Lugansk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / X 6.00 / 2 1.02

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 75.3%

1 34.6%

X 9.5%

2 55.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Astrakhan

Well rested

Rest days: 7
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Zarya Lugansk

Well rested

Rest days: 7
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Statistics

Totals and BTTS trends

	Astrakhan	Zarya Lugansk
Over 2.5	60%	—
Average total	3	—
Both teams to score (BTTS)	20%	—
Matches counted	5	—

% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.

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Match center

Start 04.07.2026 12:30 UTC

Match center

Astrakhan - Zarya Lugansk

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Астрахань - Заря, 4 июля 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Вторая лига России по футболу 2026 (дивизион «Б»), 15-й тур. Астрахань - Заря, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.02 Fonbet · line only

X 6.00 Fonbet · line only

1 1.61 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.09 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.16 market consensus · line only

X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.33 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 2.85 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.06 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 3.00 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.98 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.72 58.1%	1.99 50.3%
yes	1.98 50.5%	1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.12 89.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.09 91.7%
1x	1.13 88.5%	1.19 84.0%	12.50 8.0%
x2	2.11 47.4%	2.20 45.5%	1.02 98.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
П1	2.18 45.9%
Х	2.43 41.2%
П2	4.76 21.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
ТБ 1	1.63 61.4%
ТМ 1	2.14 46.7%

Match center

Astrakhan

W L

13.06 12:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 1 Standings

Astrakhan 4:1 PSK Dinskaya

06.06 12:30 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 1 Standings

Astrakhan 0:3 Shakhter

1 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

3 Points

Zarya Lugansk

W L

13.06 12:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 1 Standings

Zarya Lugansk 1:0 Angusht

07.06 11:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 1 Standings

Zarya Lugansk 1:2 Dinamo Makhachkala 2

1 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAstrakhan - Zarya Lugansk

Astrakhan

0 matches total

Zarya Lugansk

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Astrakhan

Data 9 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Zarya Lugansk

14 Игры 14

4 Победы 3

3 Ничьи 3

7 Поражения 8

15 Забито 14

19 Пропущено 24

15 Очки 12

0.71 Предупреждения 0.64

0 Удаления 0

Астрахань 21-й тур Голы 1:0 0' 1:1 0' 1:2 0'

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Астрахань Заря 14 Игры 14 4 Победы 3 3 Ничьи 3 7 Поражения 8 15 Забито 14 19 Пропущено 24 15 Очки 12 0.71 Предупреждения 0.64 0 Удаления 0 Следующий матч 29.08.2026 Россия — Leon-Вторая лига Б Заря –:– Астрахань 21-й тур Голы 1:0 0' 1:1 0' 1:2 0' Главные тренеры Главные тренеры Андраник Александрович Бабаян Главные тренеры Алексей Алексеевич Мулдаров Результаты голосования Исход в основное время 56% 13% 31% Двойной шанс 35% 43% 22% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1308740' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');