Match center
Start
04.07.2026 12:00 UTC
04.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished
Friendly Games. Russian Clubs
Spartak-Nalchik - FK Sevastopol
S
Spartak-Nalchik
3
:
2
Finished
F
FK Sevastopol
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
💎 «Value»
1Spartak-Nalchik — odds 3.94 · edge +3.2% · 3 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Spartak-Nalchik - FK Sevastopol July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Spartak-Nalchik. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.13 / X 7.00 / 2 1.91
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 55.1%
1
57.0%
X
9.2%
2
33.7%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Spartak-Nalchik - FK Sevastopol
Form
0/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.86
market consensus · line only
X
7.00
Fonbet · line only
1
1.13
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.07
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.15
Fonbet · line only
X2
5.10
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.45
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
2.40
Fonbet · line only
2 0
3.40
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
2.55
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.64
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.10
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.02
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.70
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.02 49.5% | 2.24 44.6% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% | 1.63 61.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.07 93.5% |
| 1x | 1.73 57.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.15 87.0% |
| x2 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.22 82.0% | 5.10 19.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.12 24.3% | |
| X | 2.41 41.5% |
| 2.36 42.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.20 45.5% |
Match center
FK Sevastopol
W
W
FK Sevastopol
2:1
FK win
FK Sevastopol
1:0
Nart Cherkessk
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.5
Scored
0.5
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySpartak-Nalchik - FK Sevastopol
Spartak-Nalchik
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals