Friendly Games. Russian Clubs

15 round 04.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

04.07.2026 13:00 UTC 15 round

Finished

Friendly Games. Russian Clubs

Orel - Metallurg Lipetsk

Futbol

Orel

0 : 2

Finished

Metallurg Lipetsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Orel - Metallurg Lipetsk July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Metallurg Lipetsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.40 / X 2.60 / 2 1.15

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 48.1%

1 15.3%

X 26.0%

2 58.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Orel

Well rested

Rest days: 7
Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)

Metallurg Lipetsk

Well rested

Rest days: 7
Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center

Start 04.07.2026 13:00 UTC

Match center

Orel - Metallurg Lipetsk

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Orel - Metallurg Lp, 4 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Second League Rossii po futbolu 2026 (Division «B»), 15 round. Orel - Metallurg Lp, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 3/0 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.15 Fonbet · line only

X 2.60 Fonbet · line only

1 4.40 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.45 Fonbet · line only

1X 4.80 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.17 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.06 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 2.50 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.38 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 7.60 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.85 54.1%	1.89 52.9%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.21 82.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.45 69.0%
1x	1.77 56.5%	1.84 54.4%	4.80 20.8%
x2	1.15 87.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.17 85.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	5.10 19.6%
X	2.02 49.5%
	2.58 38.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.90 52.6%
Under 1	1.80 55.6%

Match center

Orel

W D L

13.06 13:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 3 Standings

Orel 3:2 Strogino

06.06 13:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 3 Standings

Orel 1:1 SKA-Khabarovsk 2

31.05 11:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 3 Standings

Orel 0:2 Shumbrat Saransk

1 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.3 Scored

1.7 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyOrel - Metallurg Lipetsk

Orel

0 matches total

Metallurg Lipetsk

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Orel

Data 9 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Metallurg Lipetsk

14 Games 14

5 Wins 8

4 Draws 3

5 Losses 3

22 Scored 29

23 Conceded 17

19 Points 27

0.43 Warnings 0.29

0 Sendoffs 0.07

Orel 29 round Goly 0:1 0' 0:2 0'

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Orel Metallurg Lp 14 Games 14 5 Wins 8 4 Draws 3 5 Losses 3 22 Scored 29 23 Conceded 17 19 Points 27 0.43 Warnings 0.29 0 Sendoffs 0.07 Sleduyuschiy match 24.10.2026 Russia — Leon-Second League B Metallurg Lp –:– Orel 29 round Goly 0:1 0' 0:2 0' Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Petr Aleksandrovich Nemov Glavnye trenery Sergey Vladimirovich Khripunkov Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 52% 9% 39% Double chance 31% 45% 24% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1308722' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');