UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
09.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

Ingolshtadt 🇩🇪 - LASK

Futbol
I
Ingolshtadt 🇩🇪
2 : 0
Finished
LASK
LASK

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ingolshtadt 🇩🇪 - LASK July 9, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ingolshtadt 🇩🇪. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / X 3.45 / 2 6.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 57.8%
X 26.8%
2 15.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 2 books
1 4.58 1xBet
X 4.45 1xBet
2 1.60 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Ingolshtadt 🇩🇪
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 2.12 Conceded 1.97 xG 1.61 xGA 1.55
LASK
W-D-L 7-0-3 Scored 2.72 Conceded 0.78 xG 2.10 xGA 1.23

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Ingolshtadt 🇩🇪
Rating 1620
LASK
Rating 1734

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Ingolshtadt 🇩🇪 1 : 2 LASK
14.59
X4.45
21.60

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 09.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Match center

Ingolshtadt 🇩🇪 - LASK

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.00 Fonbet · line only
X 3.45 Fonbet · line only
1 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.09 Fonbet · line only
X2 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.48 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.92 Fonbet · line only
2 0 4.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0%
1x 2.17 46.1% 1.09 91.7%
x2 1.19 84.0% 2.20 45.5%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
1.78 56.2%
1.06 94.3%
1.25 80.0%
1.20 83.3%
2.45 40.8%
3.65 27.4%
8.00 12.5%
3.30 30.3%
1.92 52.1%
7.30 13.7%
3.35 29.9%
3.90 25.6%
5.90 17.0%
1.48 67.6%
1.25 80.0%
1.05 95.2%
1.29 77.5% 4.05 24.7%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 1 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 2 1.45 69.0%
Over 2.5 2.08 48.1%
Over 3 3.00 33.3%
Over 3.5 2.10 47.6% 4.40 22.7%
Over 4 2.40 41.7%
Over 4.5 7.00 14.3%
Over 5 4.40 22.7%
Over 5.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 1 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 3.55 28.2%
Under 2 2.55 39.2%
Under 2.5 1.67 59.9%
Under 3 1.35 74.1%
Under 3.5 1.65 60.6% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Ingolshtadt 🇩🇪
W
04.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Ingolshtadt 🇩🇪 2:0 Aykhshtet 🇩🇪
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
LASK
L
03.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
LASK 0:2 Dinamo Kiev 🇺🇦
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points