Match center
Start
10.07.2026 14:00 UTC
10.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Maribor - Charlton Athletic
M
Maribor
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Maribor - Charlton Athletic July 10, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Charlton Athletic.
Line favourite market consensus: Charlton Athletic. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.57 / X 3.48 / 2 2.36
- 1X2 market: Maribor 35.4% / X 26.1% / Charlton Athletic 38.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.0%
1
35.4%
X
26.1%
2
38.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 12 books
1
2.88
BetVictor
X
3.64
Marathonbet
2
2.50
Unibet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Maribor
W-D-L 3-2-5
Scored 1.55
Conceded 2.38
xG 1.79
xGA 1.37
Charlton Athletic
W-D-L 7-2-1
Scored 2.19
Conceded 0.51
xG 1.81
xGA 0.90
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Maribor
Rating 1453
Charlton Athletic
Rating 1914
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Maribor
1
:
1
Charlton Athletic
12.84
X3.65
22.28
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Maribor - Charlton Athletic
Form
2/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.60
Fonbet · line only
X
1.25
Fonbet · line only
1
8.00
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
3.60
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.10
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.07
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.03
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
1.67
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.63
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
8.50
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
3.65
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.22
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.23
Fonbet · line only
Yes
3.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.38 42.0% | 2.69 37.2% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.70 37.0% | |
| X | 3.50 28.6% | 3.64 27.5% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 2.55 39.2% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.57 38.9% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.30 43.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.23 81.3% | 2.21 45.3% |
| yes | 3.60 27.8% | 1.62 61.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.23 81.3% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 1x | 1.54 64.9% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.10 90.9% |
| x2 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.07 93.5% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_4 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 0_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_1 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 1_2 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_4 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_5 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 2_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_3 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 2_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
Match center
Maribor
D
D
Maribor
1:1
Zheleznichar Panchevo 🇷🇸
Maribor
3:3
TsSKA 1948 🇧🇴
0
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
2
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMaribor - Charlton Athletic
Maribor
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals