Match center
Start
11.07.2026 11:00 UTC
11.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Sparta Praga ๐จ๐ฟ - Gamba Osaka ๐ฏ๐ต
3
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sparta Praga ๐จ๐ฟ - Gamba Osaka ๐ฏ๐ต July 11, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sparta Praga ๐จ๐ฟ.
Line favourite market consensus: Sparta Praga ๐จ๐ฟ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.68 / X 3.86 / 2 4.15
- 1X2 market: Sparta Praga ๐จ๐ฟ 54.4% / X 23.6% / Gamba Osaka ๐ฏ๐ต 22.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.5%
1
54.3%
X
23.7%
2
22.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 7 books
1
1.83
Betano
X
4.10
Bet365
2
4.55
Marathonbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data โ for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Sparta Praga ๐จ๐ฟ
W-D-L 6-2-2
Scored 2.64
Conceded 1.30
xG 2.15
xGA 1.12
Gamba Osaka ๐ฏ๐ต
W-D-L 4-3-3
Scored 2.34
Conceded 1.91
xG 1.27
xGA 1.62
Corners 8.0
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data โ for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Sparta Praga ๐จ๐ฟ
Rating 1850
Gamba Osaka ๐ฏ๐ต
Rating 1625
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model โ for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Sparta Praga ๐จ๐ฟ
2
:
1
Gamba Osaka ๐ฏ๐ต
11.69
X3.98
24.50
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Sparta Praga ๐จ๐ฟ - Gamba Osaka ๐ฏ๐ต
Form
1/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.01
Fonbet ยท line only
X
3.86
market consensus ยท line only
1
1.67
market consensus ยท line only
Double chance
12
1.01
Fonbet ยท line only
1X
9.50
Fonbet ยท line only
X2
1.06
Fonbet ยท line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.07
Fonbet ยท line only
2 +1
1.48
Fonbet ยท line only
2 0
1.05
Fonbet ยท line only
1 -1
6.40
Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.45
Fonbet ยท line only
Under 2.5
2.60
Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No
1.04
Fonbet ยท line only
Yes
7.80
Fonbet ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.67 59.9% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.63 61.4% | |
| X | 4.05 24.7% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.05 24.7% | 3.66 27.3% | 3.85 26.0% |
| 4.50 22.2% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.65 27.4% | 4.55 22.0% | 4.09 24.5% | 4.20 23.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.04 96.2% | 2.14 46.7% |
| yes | 7.80 12.8% | 1.66 60.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.01 99.0% |
| 1x | 9.50 10.5% |
| x2 | 1.06 94.3% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_3 | 55.00 1.8% |
| 0_4 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_5 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 0_6 | 90.00 1.1% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_4 | 80.00 1.3% |
| 1_5 | 46.00 2.2% |
Match center
Sparta Praga ๐จ๐ฟ
W
Sparta Praga ๐จ๐ฟ
4:1
Opava ๐จ๐ฟ
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
4.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySparta Praga ๐จ๐ฟ - Gamba Osaka ๐ฏ๐ต
Sparta Praga ๐จ๐ฟ
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals