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Serie A Italy

23.08.2026 16:30 UTC

Not started

Serie A

AS Roma - Fiorentina

Italy Football

AS Roma

- : -

Not started

Fiorentina

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Fiorentina August 23, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.52 / X 4.30 / 2 6.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 62.9%

X 22.2%

2 14.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 23.08.2026 16:30 UTC

Match center

AS Roma - Fiorentina

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.40 Fonbet · line only

X 4.30 Fonbet · line only

1 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.25 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.14 Fonbet · line only

X2 2.55 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.95 Fonbet · line only

2 0 4.30 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.85 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.16 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.97 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.80 55.6%
yes	1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.25 80.0%
1x	1.14 87.7%
x2	2.55 39.2%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.85 54.1%
	2.40 41.7%
	3.80 26.3%
	4.50 22.2%
	1.16 86.2%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.53 65.4%
	1.22 82.0%
	1.15 87.0%
	4.30 23.3%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 0.5	1.03 97.1%
Over 1	1.05 95.2%
Over 1.5	1.25 80.0%
Over 2	1.40 71.4%
Over 2.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 3	2.40 41.7%
Over 3.5	2.95 33.9%
Over 4	4.50 22.2%
Over 4.5	5.20 19.2%
Under 0.5	8.50 11.8%
Under 1	7.20 13.9%
Under 1.5	3.55 28.2%
Under 2	2.75 36.4%
Under 2.5	1.93 51.8%
Under 3	1.53 65.4%
Under 3.5	1.35 74.1%
Under 4	1.15 87.0%
Under 4.5	1.11 90.1%

Match center

AS Roma

W W W W W

24.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 2:0 Hellas Verona

17.05 10:00 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 2:0 Lazio

10.05 16:00 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 3:2 Parma

04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 4:0 Fiorentina

25.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 2:0 Bologna

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.6 Scored

0.4 Conceded

15 Points

Fiorentina

D W D L D

22.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 1:1 Atalanta

17.05 10:00 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 2:0 Juventus

10.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 0:0 Genoa

04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 0:4 AS Roma

26.04 10:30 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 0:0 Sassuolo

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.0 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Fiorentina

AS Roma

3 matches total

Fiorentina

AS Roma: 3 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Fiorentina: 0 (0%)

Biggest win AS Roma 4:0 (04.05 18:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (4:0, 04.05 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

7 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 7

Match history

04.05 18:45 UTC

Serie A

AS Roma

4:0

Fiorentina

05.10 13:00 UTC

Serie A

AS Roma

2:1

Fiorentina

04.05 16:00 UTC

Serie A

AS Roma

1:0

Fiorentina