Serie A Italy

23.08.2026 16:30 UTC

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Serie A

Parma - Cagliari

Italy Futbol

Parma

- : -

Not started

Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Cagliari 23 августа 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Parma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.65 / X 3.10 / 2 2.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%

1 36.1%

X 30.9%

2 33.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 23.08.2026 16:30 UTC

Match center

Parma - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.90 Fonbet · line only

X 3.10 Fonbet · line only

1 2.65 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.40 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.43 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.14 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 5.00 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.00 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 4.70 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.78 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.98 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.78 56.2%
yes	1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.40 71.4%
1x	1.43 69.9%
x2	1.50 66.7%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
П1 +1	1.12 89.3%
П1 +1.5	1.08 92.6%
П1 -1	4.70 21.3%
П1 -1.5	5.70 17.5%
П1 0	1.82 55.0%
П2 +1	5.00 20.0%
П2 +1.5	6.10 16.4%
П2 -1	1.14 87.7%
П2 -1.5	1.09 91.7%
П2 0	2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
ТБ 0.5	1.08 92.6%
ТБ 1	1.12 89.3%
ТБ 1.5	1.48 67.6%
ТБ 2	1.78 56.2%
ТБ 2.5	2.35 42.6%
ТБ 3	3.55 28.2%
ТБ 3.5	4.20 23.8%
ТМ 0.5	6.00 16.7%
ТМ 1	4.90 20.4%
ТМ 1.5	2.55 39.2%
ТМ 2	1.98 50.5%
ТМ 2.5	1.60 62.5%
ТМ 3	1.25 80.0%
ТМ 3.5	1.17 85.5%

Match center

Parma

W L L L W

24.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

Parma 1:0 Sassuolo

17.05 10:00 UTC Serie A

Parma 0:1 Como

10.05 16:00 UTC Serie A

Parma 2:3 AS Roma

03.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Parma 0:2 Inter

25.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Parma 1:0 Pisa

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

6 Points

Cagliari

W W L D W

24.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 2:1 AC Milan

17.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 2:1 Torino

09.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 0:2 Udinese

03.05 10:30 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 0:0 Bologna

27.04 16:30 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 3:2 Atalanta

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Cagliari

Parma

3 matches total

Cagliari

Parma: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (33.3%)

Cagliari: 2 (66.7%)

Biggest win Cagliari 0:2 (13.09 13:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 30.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (27.02 19:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 6

6 Goals conceded 3

Match history

27.02 19:45 UTC

Serie A

Parma

1:1

Cagliari

13.09 13:00 UTC

Serie A

Parma

0:2

Cagliari

30.09 18:45 UTC

Serie A

Parma

2:3

Cagliari