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Serie A
Serie A Italy
23.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Not started

Serie A

Italy

Torino - AC Milan

Italy Football
Torino
Torino
- : -
Not started
AC Milan
AC Milan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Torino - AC Milan August 23, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.50 / X 3.75 / 2 1.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 21.3%
X 25.5%
2 53.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Torino - AC Milan

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.80 Fonbet · line only
X 3.75 Fonbet · line only
1 4.50 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 2.05 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.45 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.32 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 7.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.30 76.9%
1x 2.05 48.8%
x2 1.23 81.3%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.55 64.5%
1.35 74.1%
1.10 90.9%
1.07 93.5%
7.00 14.3%
8.00 12.5%
3.10 32.3%
2.45 40.8%
3.00 33.3%
5.40 18.5%
6.20 16.1%
1.05 95.2%
1.04 96.2%
1.32 75.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1%
Over 1 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 2 1.40 71.4%
Over 2.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 3 2.45 40.8%
Over 3.5 2.95 33.9%
Over 4 4.60 21.7%
Over 4.5 5.20 19.2%
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1 7.10 14.1%
Under 1.5 3.55 28.2%
Under 2 2.75 36.4%
Under 2.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 3 1.50 66.7%
Under 3.5 1.35 74.1%
Under 4 1.14 87.7%
Under 4.5 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Torino
D L W L D
24.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:2 JuventusJuventus
17.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:2 CagliariCagliari
08.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:1 SassuoloSassuolo
02.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:2 UdineseUdinese
26.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:2 InterInter
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
AC Milan
L W L L D
24.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:2 CagliariCagliari
17.05 10:00 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:1 GenoaGenoa
10.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:3 AtalantaAtalanta
03.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:2 SassuoloSassuolo
26.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:0 JuventusJuventus
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTorino - AC Milan

Torino
2 matches total
AC Milan
Torino: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
AC Milan: 2 (100%)
Biggest win AC Milan 2:3 (21.03 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 21.03 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 4

Match history

21.03 17:00 UTC Serie A
Torino
2:3
AC Milan
08.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino
2:3
AC Milan