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Süper Lig
Süper Lig Turkey
04.04.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished

Süper Lig

Turkey

Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor

Turkey Football
Stadium Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
2 : 0
Finished
Kayserispor
Kayserispor

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kasımpaşa.

Line favourite market consensus: Kasımpaşa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.11 / X 3.41 / 2 3.25
  • 1X2 market: Kasımpaşa 44.1% / X 27.3% / Kayserispor 28.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5%
1 44.1%
X 27.3%
2 28.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 50.9%
Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 11:30 UTC
Match center

Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.25 market consensus · line only
X 3.41 market consensus · line only
1 2.11 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.68 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.17 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.06 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
2.10 47.6% 2.17 46.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.58 27.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.44 29.1%
3.30 30.3% 3.43 29.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Betano BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.08 48.1% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 — 1.13 88.5%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1% 1.24 80.7%
Over 1.75 — 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.0 — 1.39 71.9%
Over 2.25 — 1.60 62.5%
Over 2.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 3.5 3.20 31.3% —
Over 4.5 6.25 16.0% —
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5% —
Under 1.5 3.55 28.2% —
Under 2.5 1.91 52.4% —
Under 3.5 1.33 75.2% —
Under 4.5 1.11 90.1% —
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKasımpaşa - Kayserispor

Kasımpaşa
0 matches total
Kayserispor
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history