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Süper Lig
Süper Lig Turkey
04.04.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Süper Lig

Turkey

Trabzonspor - Galatasaray

Turkey Football
Stadium Papara Park
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor
2 : 1
Finished
Galatasaray
Galatasaray

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Trabzonspor - Galatasaray April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Galatasaray.

Line favourite market consensus: Galatasaray. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.22 / X 3.66 / 2 2.04
  • 1X2 market: Trabzonspor 29.0% / X 25.4% / Galatasaray 45.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.4%
1 28.9%
X 25.4%
2 45.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.5%
Over 2.5 61.2%
Under 2.5 38.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Trabzonspor - Galatasaray

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.04 market consensus · line only
X 3.66 market consensus · line only
1 3.22 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.74 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.81 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.54 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.45 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
3.20 31.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.13 32.0% 3.36 29.8%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.74 26.7% 3.55 28.2% 3.90 25.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8%
2.02 49.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.01 49.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Betano BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 1.17 85.5% 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.75 1.13 88.5%
Over 2.0 1.17 85.5%
Over 2.25 1.32 75.8%
Over 2.5 1.53 65.4% 1.47 68.0%
Over 2.75 1.59 62.9%
Over 3.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 4.5 4.00 25.0%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 1.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 2.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 3.5 1.60 62.5%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTrabzonspor - Galatasaray

Trabzonspor
0 matches total
Galatasaray
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history