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Friendly. Women
Friendly. Women
13.06.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction
13.06.2026 09:00 UTC
Finished

Friendly. Women

FC Smorgon (w) - Yurgorden (Zh)

Football
F
FC Smorgon (w)
3 : 0
Finished
Y
Yurgorden (Zh)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Smorgon (w) - Yurgorden (Zh) June 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Smorgon (w).

Line favourite market consensus: FC Smorgon (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 3.38 / 2 3.06
  • 1X2 market: FC Smorgon (w) 44.1% / X 26.6% / Yurgorden (Zh) 29.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.3%
1 44.0%
X 26.6%
2 29.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Damallsvenskan
League table
FC Smorgon (w)
#318 ptsGP 95-3-117:11
WDWDW
Yurgorden (Zh)
#108 ptsGP 92-2-55:15
LDWLL
Best price across 13 books
1 2.20 Unibet
X 3.52 Pinnacle
2 3.40 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
FC Smorgon (w)
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.56 Conceded 1.55 xG 1.41 xGA 1.42 Corners 6.7
1 +2.62 X +0.90 2 -1.83 1 (DNB) +3.38
Yurgorden (Zh)
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 0.76 Conceded 1.42 xG 1.41 xGA 1.69 Corners 5.4
1 -2.69 X -5.30 2 +0.33 1 (DNB) -3.26

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
FC Smorgon (w)
Rating 1621 xG 1.47 Win 45%
Yurgorden (Zh)
Rating 1542 xG 1.14 Win 29%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 13.06.2026 09:00 UTC
Match center

FC Smorgon (w) - Yurgorden (Zh)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.07 market consensus · line only
X 3.39 market consensus · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 7.60 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 6.30 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.35 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.44 29.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6%
3.00 33.3% 3.16 31.7% 3.25 30.8% 3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.13 32.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.48 67.6%
yes 2.45 40.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.02 98.0%
1x 11.00 9.1%
x2 7.60 13.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.05 95.2%
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.22 82.0%
3.45 29.0%
8.50 11.8%
7.20 13.9%
12.00 8.3%
1.92 52.1%
2.30 43.5%
1.62 61.7%
1.90 52.6%
2.20 45.5%
10.50 9.5%
3.60 27.8%
1.25 80.0%
1.03 97.1%
6.30 15.9%