Sweden. Premier League
Sweden. Premier League
05.07.2026 12:30 UTC 11 round
Finished

Sweden. Premier League

Elfsborg - Hammarby

Futbol
Elfsborg
Elfsborg
1 : 2
Finished
Hammarby
Hammarby

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Elfsborg - Hammarby July 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hammarby.

Line favourite market consensus: Hammarby. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.76 / X 3.60 / 2 1.87
  • 1X2 market: Elfsborg 24.6% / X 25.8% / Hammarby 49.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 24.7%
X 25.8%
2 49.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Allsvenskan

Team stats

Elfsborg
WWLDWDDDDD
W 3 • D 6 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 0.9
3 place, 18 pts
Hammarby
WDDWWLWLLL
W 4 • D 2 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:2.2 : 1.3
4 place, 17 pts
Head-to-head: 15 — Elfsborg 3, draws 5, Hammarby 7 (goals 15:26)
  • Hammarby — IF Elfsborg2025-11-09 3:0
  • IF Elfsborg — Hammarby2025-05-31 0:2
  • IF Elfsborg — Hammarby2024-09-22 0:0
  • Hammarby — IF Elfsborg2024-04-15 3:0
  • Hammarby — IF Elfsborg2023-08-13 1:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Referee · coaches · venue

Match information

Head coach
Elfsborg
Hamberg, Bjorn
Head coach
Hammarby
Rydstrom, Henrik
Referee: Sundell, Richard
Borås Arena (Boras)

Referee, coaches and venue: Betradar.

Independent Elo rating

clubelo prediction

Elfsborg
1388Elo
Hammarby
1508Elo
Stronger by Elo: Hammarby (gap 120)
Independent clubelo model prediction: 1 28% · X 26% · 2 46%

Elo rating and model prediction: clubelo.com. Independent estimate, for reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Elfsborg
Well rested
  • Rest days: 7
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
Hammarby
No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Boras-Arena
Start 05.07.2026 12:30 UTC
Match center

Elfsborg - Hammarby

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Elfsborg - Khammarbyu, 5 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Shvetsii po futbolu (Allsvenskan) 2026, 11 round. Elfsborg - Khammarbyu, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X 7.00 Fonbet · line only
1 3.76 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1X 6.40 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.67 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.05 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
3.84 26.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.85 26.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.86 25.9%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.30 76.9% 2.18 45.9%
yes 3.15 31.8% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.06 94.3%
1x 1.81 55.3% 1.84 54.4% 6.40 15.6%
x2 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.11 24.3%
X 2.34 42.7%
2.33 42.9%
Match center
Hammarby
L
31.05 10:00 UTC Sweden: Premier League Standings
Hammarby 2:3 Khekken
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyElfsborg - Hammarby

Elfsborg
0 matches total
Hammarby
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Elfsborg
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Hammarby
Elfsborg Team comparison Hammarby
11 Games 11
4 Wins 5
6 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
16 Scored 24
11 Conceded 13
18 Points 17
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
10.43 Shots on goal 18.44
3.36 Shots on target 6.36
sborg 28 round Goly Paulos Abrakham Viktor Linn 0:1 50' Montader Madjed Paulos Abrakham 0:2 74' Ari Sigyurpaulsson Yulius Magnusson 1:2 77' Nakazaniya Yulius Magnusson 18'

Elfsborg Khammarbyu 11 Games 11 4 Wins 5 6 Draws 2 1 Losses 4 16 Scored 24 11 Conceded 13 18 Points 17 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 10.43 Shots on goal 18.44 3.36 Udary v stvor 6.36 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.27 Uglovye 5.09 1.27 Offsaydy 1.73 11.27 Foly 10.91 44.18 % vladeniya myachom 60.36 1.82 Warnings 1.09 0 Sendoffs 0.09 Sleduyuschiy match 08.11.2026 Sweden — Allsvenskan — 2026 Khammarbyu –:– Elfsborg 28 round Goly Paulos Abrakham Viktor Linn 0:1 50' Montader Madjed Paulos Abrakham 0:2 74' Ari Sigyurpaulsson Yulius Magnusson 1:2 77' Nakazaniya Yulius Magnusson 18'