UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sirius.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Match conditions
Slabaya moros
⚠ Strong wind complicates ball control and crosses — a factor toward a lower total.
⚠ Precipitation slows the game and damages the pitch — statistically fewer goals.
Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
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Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Sirius - Melbyu, 3 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Shvetsii po futbolu (Allsvenskan) 2026, 11 round. Sirius - Melbyu, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | |
| X | 4.10 24.4% | 3.98 25.1% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.05 24.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% |
| 5.60 17.9% | 5.21 19.2% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.40 18.5% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.00 20.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 2.13 47.0% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 1.64 61.0% |
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.09 91.7% |
| 1x | 1.15 87.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 2.20 45.5% | 7.10 14.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.01 49.8% | |
| X | 2.49 40.2% |
| 4.99 20.0% |
Full head-to-head historySirius - Mjolby
Sirius Melbyu 10 Games 10 9 Wins 4 1 Draws 3 0 Losses 3 27 Scored 14 10 Conceded 11 28 Points 15 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 14.38 Shots on goal 10.63 5.4 Udary v stvor 5.1 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.9 Uglovye 4.4 1.5 Offsaydy 1.4 10.4 Foly 10.7 48.5 % vladeniya myachom 53.5 1.2 Warnings 1.8 0.1 Sendoffs 0.1 Sleduyuschiy match 15.08.2026 Sweden — Allsvenskan — 2026 Melbyu –:– Sirius 17 round Goly Robbi Yur Marcus Lindberg 1:0 14' Robbi Yur Isak Bjerkebo 2:0 46' Robbi Yur Odera Adindu 3:0 50' Oki Samuelsen Abduli Manne 3:1 56' Oki Samuelsen Max Nielsen 3:2 65' Robbi Yur Odera Adindu 4:2 69' Ludvig Svanberg Oki Samuelsen 4:3 81' Tom Pettersson Toni Miettinen 4 90+1' Nakazaniya Jesper Gustavsson 49'
