Match center
Start
08.07.2026 11:00 UTC
08.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished
Tanzania. Premier League. Play-out. Second leg
Tanzania Prisons - Mbeya Siti
0
:
0
Finished
M
Mbeya Siti
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Tanzania Prisons - Mbeya Siti 8 июля 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tanzania Prisons.
Line favourite market consensus: Tanzania Prisons. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 3.17 / 2 3.98
- 1X2 market: Tanzania Prisons 49.4% / X 28.1% / Mbeya Siti 22.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 12.2%
1
49.5%
X
28.1%
2
22.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Ligi kuu BaraLeague table
Tanzania Prisons
WWLWW
Mbeya Siti
DDWLW
Best price
across 10 books
1
2.15
William Hill
X
3.25
Bet365
2
4.10
Marathonbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Tanzania Prisons
W-D-L 6-0-4
Scored 1.20
Conceded 1.50
xG 0.87
xGA 1.59
Corners 1.4
Mbeya Siti
W-D-L 3-3-4
Scored 0.80
Conceded 1.00
xG 0.96
xGA 1.43
Corners 2.3
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Tanzania Prisons
Rating 1443
xG 1.33
Win 45%
Mbeya Siti
Rating 1466
xG 0.98
Win 28%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Tanzania Prisons
1
:
5
Mbeya Siti
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Tanzania Prisons - Mbeya Siti
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.50
Fonbet · line only
X
1.20
Fonbet · line only
1
7.30
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
3.90
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.06
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.07
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +0.5
1.67
market consensus · line only
2 0
2.00
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
2.24
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.72
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.16
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Yes
8.50
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.86 53.8% |
| Х | 3.10 32.3% | 3.52 28.4% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.25 30.8% |
| П2 | 3.90 25.6% | 4.18 23.9% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.85 26.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.95 25.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.03 97.1% |
| yes | 8.50 11.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.38 72.5% | 3.90 25.6% |
| 1x | 1.10 90.9% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.06 94.3% |
| x2 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.07 93.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 1 | 2.02 49.5% |
| ТМ 1 | 1.77 56.5% |
Match center
Tanzania Prisons
L
Tanzania Prisons
0:2
Mbeya Siti
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
Mbeya Siti
W
Mbeya Siti
2:0
Tanzaniya Prizons
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyTanzania Prisons - Mbeya Siti
Tanzania Prisons
1
matches total
Tanzania Prisons: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Mbeya Siti: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Mbeya Siti 0:2 (05.07 11:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (0:2, 05.07 11:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Tanzaniya Prizons
0:2
Mbeya Siti