LOW
Total goals: Over 1.5
odds 2.35
hist. ROI +0.0%
Over 1.5 (стабильно забивают)
30.05.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started
UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain - Arsenal
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Not started
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Arsenal 30 мая 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.
Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.40 / X 3.26 / 2 3.05
- 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 39.6% / X 29.2% / Arsenal 31.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.1%
1
39.6%
X
29.2%
2
31.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5
45.5%
Under 2.5
54.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
VALUE
Fonbet · historical ROI
Extra value signals (not 1x2)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
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Match center
Start
30.05.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center
Paris Saint Germain - Arsenal
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
3
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
1.15
Fonbet · line only
1
9.50
Fonbet · line only
2
3.05
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
5.50
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.03
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.25
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
3.50
Fonbet · line only
2 0
2.20
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
4.20
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.10
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.75
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.97
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.83
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.30 43.5% | 2.49 40.2% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.40 41.7% |
| Х | 3.30 30.3% | 3.34 29.9% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.30 30.3% |
| П2 | 3.00 33.3% | 3.18 31.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.00 33.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.93 51.8% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.84 54.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.53 65.4% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.29 77.5% |
| home_draw | 1.35 74.1% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 0.5 | 1.07 93.5% | 1.01 99.0% |
| ТБ 0.75 | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| ТБ 1.0 | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| ТБ 1.25 | — | 1.18 84.8% |
| ТБ 1.5 | 1.36 73.5% | 1.32 75.8% |
| ТБ 1.75 | — | 1.42 70.4% |
| ТБ 2.0 | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 2.25 | — | 1.91 52.4% |
| ТБ 2.5 | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| ТБ 3.5 | 3.75 26.7% | — |
| ТБ 4.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — |
| ТМ 0.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — |
| ТМ 1.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.75 57.1% | — |
| ТМ 3.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — |
| ТМ 4.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — |
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
D
W
W
W
W
Paris Saint Germain
1:1
Bavariya
Bavariya
Paris Saint Germain
5:4
Bavariya
Bavariya
Paris Saint Germain
2:0
Liverpul
Liverpul
Paris Saint Germain
2:0
Liverpul
Liverpul
Paris Saint Germain
3:0
Chelsea
Chelsea
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
13
Points
Arsenal
W
D
D
W
W
Arsenal
1:0
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
Arsenal
1:1
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
Arsenal
0:0
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Arsenal
1:0
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Arsenal
2:0
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.2
Conceded
11
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
3
matches total
Paris Saint Germain: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Arsenal: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win
Arsenal 0:2 (01.10 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 07.05 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Paris Saint Germain
2:1
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
1:0
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
0:2
Arsenal