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19.03.2026 20:00 UTC
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19.03.2026 20:00 UTC
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UEFA Europa League
AS Roma - Bologna
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction AS Roma - Bologna March 19, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.
Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.73 / X 3.58 / 2 5.05
- 1X2 market: AS Roma 54.7% / X 26.5% / Bologna 18.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.5%
1
54.8%
X
26.5%
2
18.8%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5
45.3%
Under 2.5
54.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
AS Roma - Bologna
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.05
market consensus · line only
X
3.58
market consensus · line only
1
1.73
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.11
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.17
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.13
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.61
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.68
market consensus · line only
2 +1
8.40
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.10
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.74
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.78
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.98
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | |
| X | 3.55 28.2% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.77 26.5% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% |
| 5.00 20.0% | 4.45 22.5% | 5.35 18.7% | 4.80 20.8% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.40 18.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.77 56.5% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.75 57.1% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 2.12 47.2% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.96 51.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.10 47.6% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.00 50.0% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.15 87.0% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.13 88.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.36 73.5% | — | 1.32 75.8% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.41 70.9% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.99 50.3% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.75 26.7% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.25 | — | 1.91 52.4% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.73 57.8% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
Match center
AS Roma
D
D
W
W
W
AS Roma
1:1
Bologna
Bologna
AS Roma
1:1
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
AS Roma
2:0
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
AS Roma
3:0
Celtic
Celtic
AS Roma
2:1
Midtyullann
Midtyullann
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.8
Scored
0.6
Conceded
11
Points
Bologna
D
W
W
W
D
Bologna
1:1
AS Roma
AS Roma
Bologna
1:0
Brann
Brann
Bologna
1:0
Brann
Brann
Bologna
3:0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Bologna
2:2
Celtic
Celtic
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.6
Conceded
11
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Bologna
AS Roma
1
matches total
AS Roma: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Bologna: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (1:1, 12.03 17:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (12.03 17:45 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
AS Roma
1:1
Bologna
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