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Ukraine: Premier League - Ponizhenie (Playoff)
Ukraine: Premier League - Ponizhenie (Playoff)
09.06.2026 10:30 UTC
Finished

Ukraine: Premier League - Ponizhenie (Playoff)

Levyy bereg - Aleksandriya

Football
L
Levyy bereg
1 : 0
Finished
A
Aleksandriya

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Levyy bereg - Aleksandriya June 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Levyy bereg.

Line favourite market consensus: Levyy bereg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.16 / X 3.17 / 2 3.22
  • 1X2 market: Levyy bereg 42.5% / X 29.0% / Aleksandriya 28.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 42.5%
X 29.0%
2 28.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier League
League table
Levyy bereg
not in table
Aleksandriya
#1517 ptsGP 303-8-1924:58
Best price across 10 books
1 2.16 Dafabet
X 3.26 1xBet
2 3.58 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Levyy bereg
W-D-L 1-2-7 Scored 0.71 Conceded 1.58 xG 0.84 xGA 1.15 Corners 6.2
1 -6.80 X -2.64 2 +4.64 1 (DNB) -4.47
Aleksandriya
W-D-L 1-4-5 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.90 xG 1.07 xGA 1.43 Corners 5.3
1 -6.70 X +3.30 2 -0.86 1 (DNB) -3.65

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Levyy bereg
Rating 1389 xG 1.24 Win 41%
Aleksandriya
Rating 1371 xG 1.02 Win 30%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 09.06.2026 10:30 UTC
Match center

Levyy bereg - Aleksandriya

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.25 market consensus · line only
X 5.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 7.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.57 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.15 46.5% 2.21 45.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.29 30.4% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.13 32.0%
3.10 32.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.20 83.3%
yes 3.85 26.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.10 90.9%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 7.80 12.8%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.57 63.7%
7.70 13.0%
10.50 9.5%
12.00 8.3%
1.01 99.0%
11.50 8.7%
9.50 10.5%
2.25 44.4%
1.04 96.2%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
Match center
Levyy bereg
D
05.06 10:30 UTC Ukraine: Premier League - Ponizhenie (Playoff)
Levyy bereg 1:1 Aleksandriya
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Aleksandriya
D
05.06 10:30 UTC Ukraine: Premier League - Ponizhenie (Playoff)
Aleksandriya 1:1 Levyy bereg
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLevyy bereg - Aleksandriya

Levyy bereg
1 matches total
Aleksandriya
Levyy bereg: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Aleksandriya: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 05.06 10:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (05.06 10:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.06 10:30 UTC Ukraine: Premier League - Ponizhenie (Playoff)
Levyy bereg
1:1
Aleksandriya