Uruguay. Segunda Division
Uruguay. Segunda Division
11.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Uruguay. Segunda Division

River Plate - Plaza Colonia

Futbol
River Plate
River Plate
3 : 2
Finished
Plaza Colonia
Plaza Colonia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction River Plate - Plaza Colonia 11 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: River Plate. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / X 5.60 / 2 2.23

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 55.3%
1 59.6%
X 11.5%
2 28.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

River Plate 1 : 1 Plaza Colonia
13.27
X2.98
22.17

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

River Plate - Plaza Colonia

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.21 market consensus · line only
X 5.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 5.90 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.10 47.6% 1.68 59.5%
yes 1.65 60.6% 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.10 90.9%
1x 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4% 5.90 17.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 4.27 23.4%
Х 1.88 53.2%
П2 2.91 34.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 0.5 1.53 65.4%
ТБ 1 2.35 42.6%
ТМ 0.5 2.33 42.9%
ТМ 1 1.53 65.4%
Match center
River Plate
W W L L
04.07 21:00 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
River Plate 2:1 Oriental
14.06 12:00 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
River Plate 6:4 SerritoSerrito
06.06 11:00 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
River Plate 1:3 FeniksFeniks
31.05 16:30 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
River Plate 0:2 Atenas
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.3 Scored
2.5 Conceded
6 Points
Plaza Colonia
W W
04.07 18:00 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
Plaza Colonia 1:0 La LusLa Lus
14.06 19:00 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
Plaza Colonia 2:1 Paysandu FCPaysandu FC
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points