World Cup - Playoff

round of 32 03.07.2026 23:30 UTC Match prediction

03.07.2026 23:30 UTC round of 32

Finished

World Cup - Playoff

Colombia - Ghana

Futbol

Colombia

1 : 0

Finished

Ghana

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

2Ghana — odds 9.50 · edge +3.1% · 16 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Colombia - Ghana July 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Colombia.

Line favourite market consensus: Colombia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.45 / X 4.27 / 2 8.18
1X2 market: Colombia 65.9% / X 22.3% / Ghana 11.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%

1 65.9%

X 22.4%

2 11.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

World Cup

League table

Colombia

#17 ptsGP 32-1-04:1

WDWW

Ghana

#34 ptsGP 31-1-12:2

LLDW

Best price across 13 books

1 1.57 Dafabet

X 4.61 1xBet

2 10.00 BetVictor

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Colombia

W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.43 Conceded 0.43 xG 1.60 xGA 0.98 Corners 4.5

Ghana

W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 0.82 Conceded 0.93 xG 0.83 xGA 1.69 Corners 2.2

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Colombia

Rating 1709

Ghana

Rating 1502

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Form and head-to-head • FIFA World Cup - Round of 32

Team stats

Colombia

DWWLLWWWWD

W 6 • D 2 • L 2 (10)

Goals average:1.6 : 0.8

1 place, 7 pts

Ghana

LLLLLLDWDL

W 1 • D 2 • L 7 (10)

Goals average:0.5 : 1.6

3 place, 4 pts

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Match conditions

Match weather

Pasmurno

Temperature

34.3°

Feels like

36.4°

Wind

15.9 km/h (gusts 22.7)

Precipitation

0 mm/h

Humidity

46%

Cloud cover

81%

Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.

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Match center

Stadium Erroukhed (Kanzas-Siti, Missuri, USA), 69 045 zriteley (87% pri vmestimosti 79 416)

Referee Kleman Tyurpen (Ullen)

Start 03.07.2026 23:30 UTC

Match center

Colombia - Ghana

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Colombia - Ghana, 4 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. World Cup po futbolu 2026, round of 32. Colombia - Ghana, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.25 market consensus · line only

X 4.28 market consensus · line only

1 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.11 Fonbet · line only

X2 2.89 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -1 3.40 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 2.18 market consensus · line only

2 0 4.60 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.32 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Yes 4.05 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.42 70.4%	1.47 68.0%	1.42 70.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%
X	4.20 23.8%	4.48 22.3%	4.33 23.1%	4.40 22.7%	4.33 23.1%	4.33 23.1%
	7.80 12.8%	8.95 11.2%	8.00 12.5%	7.70 13.0%	9.00 11.1%	8.50 11.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.20 83.3%	1.55 64.5%
yes	4.05 24.7%	2.29 43.7%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.01 99.0%
1x	1.08 92.6%	1.07 93.5%	1.11 90.1%
x2	2.93 34.1%	2.85 35.1%	12.00 8.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.97 50.8%
X	2.28 43.9%
	7.50 13.3%

Match center

Full head-to-head historyColombia - Ghana

Colombia

0 matches total

Ghana

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Colombia

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Ghana

3 Games 3

2 Wins 1

1 Draws 1

0 Losses 1

4 Scored 2

1 Conceded 2

7 Points 4

96 Attacks 78.33

46.33 Dangerous attacks 23

2 Big chances 0

19.67 Shots on goal 5

6.33 Shots on target 1.33

niya 1 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Dzhon Aryas Luis Suares 1:0 14' Nakazaniya Dzhon Aryas 12' Kaleb Yirenki 49' Issaaku Fatavu 66' Alidu Seydu 76' Richard Rios 78'

Colombia Ghana 3 Games 3 2 Wins 1 Draws 1 0 Losses 1 4 Scored 2 1 Conceded 2 7 Points 4 96 Attacks 78.33 46.33 Dangerous attacks 23 2 Big chances 0 19.67 Shots on goal 5 6.33 Udary v stvor 1.33 1 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.67 Uglovye 2 4.33 Offsaydy 2.67 11.67 Foly 15.33 60 % vladeniya myachom 35 1.33 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Dzhon Aryas Luis Suares 1:0 14' Nakazaniya Dzhon Aryas 12' Kaleb Yirenki 49' Issaaku Fatavu 66' Alidu Seydu 76' Richard Rios 78'