World: Championship Worlda - Playoff

1/4 финала 10.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

10.07.2026 17:00 UTC 1/4 финала

Finished

World: Championship Worlda - Playoff

Spain - Belgium

Futbol

Spain

2 : 1

Finished

Belgium

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Spain - Belgium 10 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Spain.

Line favourite market consensus: Spain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 3.97 / 2 5.55
1X2 market: Spain 58.7% / X 24.1% / Belgium 17.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%

1 58.7%

X 24.1%

2 17.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

World Cup

League table

Spain

#17 ptsGP 32-1-05:0

WWWWW

Belgium

#15 ptsGP 31-2-06:2

LWWWD

Best price across 14 books

1 1.70 Betano

X 4.18 1xBet

2 6.20 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Spain

W-D-L 5-4-1 Scored 1.82 Conceded 0.08 xG 2.38 xGA 0.67 Corners 7.7

Belgium

W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 2.23 Conceded 0.96 xG 1.97 xGA 0.99 Corners 4.7

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Spain

Rating 1754 xG 1.93 Win 56%

Belgium

Rating 1662 xG 1.14 Win 22%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Spain 0 : 0 Belgium

11.64

X4.18

26.14

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Stadium Соу-Фай (Инглвуд, США), 70 492 зрителя (100% при вместимости 70 240)

Referee Майкл Оливер (Ашингтон, Англия)

Start 10.07.2026 17:00 UTC

Match center

Spain - Belgium

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Испания - Бельгия, 10 июля 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Мира по футболу 2026, 1/4 финала. Испания - Бельгия, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.60 market consensus · line only

X 3.98 market consensus · line only

1 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.03 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only

X2 2.30 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -1 2.90 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 1.83 market consensus · line only

2 0 3.85 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.42 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
П1	1.60 62.5%	1.63 61.4%	1.62 61.7%	1.72 58.1%	1.62 61.7%	1.57 63.7%
Х	3.85 26.0%	4.18 23.9%	4.00 25.0%	3.85 26.0%	3.90 25.6%	4.10 24.4%
П2	5.40 18.5%	6.14 16.3%	5.50 18.2%	5.40 18.5%	5.50 18.2%	5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.95 51.3%	1.99 50.3%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.24 80.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.03 97.1%
1x	1.11 90.1%	1.14 87.7%	1.06 94.3%
x2	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	14.00 7.1%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	9.50 10.5%
0_1	12.00 8.3%
0_2	26.00 3.9%
0_3	61.00 1.6%
1_0	6.00 16.7%
1_1	6.50 15.4%
1_2	13.00 7.7%
1_3	41.00 2.4%
1_4	101.00 1.0%
2_0	6.50 15.4%
2_1	6.50 15.4%
2_2	13.00 7.7%
2_3	34.00 2.9%
2_4	101.00 1.0%
3_0	10.00 10.0%
3_1	10.00 10.0%
3_2	19.00 5.3%
3_3	51.00 2.0%

Match center

Spain

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Belgium

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Амаду Онана

Match center

Spain

W W

05.07 17:00 UTC World: Championship Worlda - Playoff

Spain 1:0 Portugal

02.07 17:00 UTC World: Championship Worlda - Playoff

Spain 3:0 Austria

2 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

6 Points

Belgium

W W

05.07 22:00 UTC World: Championship Worlda - Playoff

Belgium 4:1 USA

01.07 18:00 UTC World: Championship Worlda - Playoff

Belgium 3:2 Senegal

2 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.5 Scored

1.5 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySpain - Belgium

Spain

0 matches total

Belgium

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Spain

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Belgium

5 Игры 5

4 Победы 3

1 Ничьи 2

0 Поражения 0

9 Забито 13

0 Пропущено 5

13 Очки 11

134 Атаки 121.6

77.6 Опасные атаки 67.2

1 Голевые моменты 4

17.2 Удары по воротам 21.4

5.8 Удары в створ 6.4

упреждения 0.8 0 Удаления 0.2 Голы Фабиан Руис 1:0 30' Шарль Де Кетеларе Тимоти Кастань 1:1 41' Микель Мерино 2:1 88' Наказания Пау Кубарси 43' Кевин Де Брёйне 85' Эмерик Лапорт 90+3' Аксель Витсель 90+5'

Испания Бельгия 5 Игры 5 4 Победы 3 1 Ничьи 2 0 Поражения 0 9 Забито 13 0 Пропущено 5 13 Очки 11 134 Атаки 121.6 77.6 Опасные атаки 67.2 1 Голевые моменты 4 17.2 Удары по воротам 21.4 5.8 Удары в створ 6.4 1 Штанги/перекладины 0.5 6.8 Угловые 4.6 1.8 Оффсайды 1.4 9.6 Фолы 12 65.2 % владения мячом 54.8 0.6 Предупреждения 0.8 0 Удаления 0.2 Голы Фабиан Руис 1:0 30' Шарль Де Кетеларе Тимоти Кастань 1:1 41' Микель Мерино 2:1 88' Наказания Пау Кубарси 43' Кевин Де Брёйне 85' Эмерик Лапорт 90+3' Аксель Витсель 90+5'