UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
04.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

Arbrot 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 - Breshin 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

Futbol
A
Arbrot 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
4 : 1
Finished
B
Breshin 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Arbrot 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿60%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arbrot 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 - Breshin 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Arbrot 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.63 / 2 4.85

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 61.2%
X 19.8%
2 18.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Arbrot 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Breshin 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 04.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Arbrot 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 - Breshin 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.85 market consensus · line only
X 4.63 market consensus · line only
1 1.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.86 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.61 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.46 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.61 38.3%
yes 1.46 68.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.91 52.4%
X 2.78 36.0%
4.63 21.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 1.5 1.89 52.9%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.88 53.2%
1.86 53.8%