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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
11.07.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
11.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Arsenal Tula (youth) - Watford

Futbol
A
Arsenal Tula (youth)
2 : 1
Finished
W
Watford

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal Tula (youth) - Watford 11 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Watford.

Line favourite market consensus: Watford. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.61 / X 3.58 / 2 1.86
  • 1X2 market: Arsenal Tula (youth) 25.4% / X 25.5% / Watford 49.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 25.3%
X 25.5%
2 49.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Arsenal Tula (youth) 1 : 1 Watford
13.93
X3.60
21.87

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Arsenal Tula (youth) - Watford

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.86 market consensus · line only
X 4.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.17 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.47 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.63 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.50 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 3.45 29.0% 3.92 25.5% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0%
Х 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
П2 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.25 44.4% 2.21 45.3%
yes 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.27 78.7% 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.69 59.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.17 85.5%
x2 1.19 84.0% 1.24 80.7% 6.00 16.7%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 11.00 9.1%
0_1 7.00 14.3%
0_2 8.50 11.8%
0_3 13.00 7.7%
0_4 29.00 3.5%
0_5 67.00 1.5%
0_6 101.00 1.0%
1_0 10.00 10.0%
1_1 6.25 16.0%
1_2 7.00 14.3%
1_3 11.00 9.1%
1_4 23.00 4.4%
1_5 56.00 1.8%
1_6 126.00 0.8%
2_0 17.00 5.9%
2_1 10.00 10.0%
2_2 11.00 9.1%
2_3 17.00 5.9%