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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

AZ Alkmaar - Gent πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺ

Futbol
A
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 3
Finished
G
Gent πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺ

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AZ Alkmaar - Gent πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺ July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.70 / X 1.40 / 2 6.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 19.7%
X 66.1%
2 14.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

AZ Alkmaar - Gent πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺ

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.50 Fonbet Β· line only
X 1.40 Fonbet Β· line only
1 4.70 Fonbet Β· line only
Double chance
12 2.75 Fonbet Β· line only
1X 1.11 Fonbet Β· line only
X2 1.17 Fonbet Β· line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +1 2.45 Fonbet Β· line only
2 0 2.20 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -1 2.21 market consensus Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.19 Fonbet Β· line only
Under 2.5 3.95 Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 1.85 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.85 54.1% 2.24 44.6%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.15 87.0% 1.23 81.3% 2.75 36.4%
1x 1.10 90.9% 1.18 84.8% 1.11 90.1%
x2 1.86 53.8% 2.06 48.5% 1.17 85.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.26 44.3%
X 2.29 43.7%
4.52 22.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.59 62.9%
Over 1.5 2.12 47.2%
Under 1 2.21 45.3%
Under 1.5 1.64 61.0%