Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
10.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Cambuur - Roda 🇳🇱

Futbol
C
Cambuur
2 : 1
Finished
R
Roda 🇳🇱

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cambuur - Roda 🇳🇱 10 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cambuur.

Line favourite market consensus: Cambuur. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 3.63 / 2 3.59
  • 1X2 market: Cambuur 50.0% / X 24.9% / Roda 🇳🇱 25.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.0%
1 50.1%
X 24.8%
2 25.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 9 books
1 1.84 Unibet
X 4.00 Bet365
2 3.91 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Cambuur
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 2.09 Conceded 2.17 xG 1.61 xGA 1.63
Roda 🇳🇱
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 2.95 Conceded 2.23 xG 1.69 xGA 1.49

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Cambuur
Rating 1414
Roda 🇳🇱
Rating 1553

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Cambuur 1 : 2 Roda 🇳🇱
11.73
X3.72
23.91

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Match center

Cambuur - Roda 🇳🇱

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 Fonbet · line only
X 3.80 Fonbet · line only
1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.22 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.35 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.35 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6%
Х 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 4.00 25.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.60 27.8%
П2 3.50 28.6% 3.87 25.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.35 42.6% 2.23 44.8%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7% 1.19 84.0% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.23 81.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.35 74.1%
x2 1.76 56.8% 1.88 53.2% 1.65 60.6%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 13.00 7.7%
0_1 11.00 9.1%
0_2 17.00 5.9%
0_3 34.00 2.9%
0_4 91.00 1.1%
1_0 7.50 13.3%
1_1 6.50 15.4%
1_2 10.00 10.0%
1_3 23.00 4.4%
1_4 56.00 1.8%
2_0 8.50 11.8%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 11.00 9.1%
2_3 23.00 4.4%
2_4 61.00 1.6%
3_0 13.00 7.7%
3_1 11.00 9.1%
3_2 17.00 5.9%
Match center
Cambuur
L
04.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Cambuur 2:3 Ekselsior 🇳🇱
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Roda 🇳🇱
D W
03.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Roda 🇳🇱 1:1 Vitess 🇳🇱Vitess 🇳🇱
30.06 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Roda 🇳🇱 10:0 VV Chevremont 🇳🇱
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
5.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCambuur - Roda 🇳🇱

Cambuur
0 matches total
Roda 🇳🇱
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history