Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Ertsgebirge Aue π©πͺ - Vysochina Yiglava π¨πΏ
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Ertsgebirge Aue π©πͺ: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.93)
- • edge over the line +16 pp β value pick
- • Expected score 1:0 (odds 7.88).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ertsgebirge Aue π©πͺ - Vysochina Yiglava π¨πΏ July 1, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vysochina Yiglava π¨πΏ.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.44 / X 3.55 / 2 2.43
- 1X2 market: Ertsgebirge Aue π©πͺ 37.2% / X 25.5% / Vysochina Yiglava π¨πΏ 37.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data β for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β for reference, complements the AI review.
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Ertsgebirge Aue π©πͺ - Vysochina Yiglava π¨πΏ
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.47 40.5% | 2.40 41.7% | |
| X | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 2.45 40.8% | 2.40 41.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.55 39.2% | 2.47 40.5% |
| yes | 1.45 69.0% | 1.50 66.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.03 97.1% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 11.00 9.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 4.90 20.4% | |
| 1.10 90.9% | |
| 7.10 14.1% | |
| 5.00 20.0% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 2.60 38.5% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 4.80 20.8% | |
| 5.70 17.5% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 5.40 18.5% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.12 89.3% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 10.50 9.5% |
Full head-to-head historyErtsgebirge Aue π©πͺ - Vysochina Yiglava π¨πΏ