Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
01.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Ertsgebirge Aue πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ - Vysochina Yiglava πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ

Futbol
E
Ertsgebirge Aue πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
3 : 1
Finished
V
Vysochina Yiglava πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ertsgebirge Aue πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ (odds2.27) Score 1:0 (odds7.88) confidence 50% βœ“ outcome correct
  • Model backs Ertsgebirge Aue πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.93)
  • edge over the line +16 pp β€” value pick
  • Expected score 1:0 (odds 7.88).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ertsgebirge Aue πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ - Vysochina Yiglava πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ July 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vysochina Yiglava πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ.

Line favourite market consensus: Vysochina Yiglava πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.44 / X 3.55 / 2 2.43
  • 1X2 market: Ertsgebirge Aue πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ 37.2% / X 25.5% / Vysochina Yiglava πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ 37.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.3%
1 37.2%
X 25.5%
2 37.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 10 books
1 3.10 BetVictor
X 3.60 Betfair
2 2.55 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data β€” for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Ertsgebirge Aue πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.45 Conceded 1.99 xG 1.73 xGA 1.91 Corners 5.0
Vysochina Yiglava πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 2.01 Conceded 1.60 xG 1.58 xGA 1.60

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Ertsgebirge Aue πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
Rating 1574
Vysochina Yiglava πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
Rating 1602

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β€” for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Ertsgebirge Aue πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ - Vysochina Yiglava πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.37 market consensus Β· line only
X 10.00 Fonbet Β· line only
1 1.01 Fonbet Β· line only
Double chance
12 1.03 Fonbet Β· line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet Β· line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.13 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +1 2.60 Fonbet Β· line only
2 0 1.64 market consensus Β· line only
1 -1 4.90 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.12 Fonbet Β· line only
Under 2.5 4.90 Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 2.55 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 1.45 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365
2.47 40.5% 2.40 41.7%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%
2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.55 39.2% 2.47 40.5%
yes 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.03 97.1%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 11.00 9.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.45 69.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.13 88.5%
4.90 20.4%
1.10 90.9%
7.10 14.1%
5.00 20.0%
11.00 9.1%
2.60 38.5%
9.50 10.5%
4.80 20.8%
5.70 17.5%
1.13 88.5%
5.40 18.5%
1.05 95.2%
1.12 89.3%
1.01 99.0%
10.50 9.5%