Match center
Start
11.07.2026 09:00 UTC
11.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Finished
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Esberg 🇩🇰 - Mafra 🇵🇹
E
Esberg 🇩🇰
0
:
2
Finished
M
Mafra 🇵🇹
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Esberg 🇩🇰 - Mafra 🇵🇹 11 июля 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Esberg 🇩🇰.
Line favourite market consensus: Esberg 🇩🇰. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 3.55 / 2 3.82
- 1X2 market: Esberg 🇩🇰 50.9% / X 25.4% / Mafra 🇵🇹 23.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.5%
1
50.8%
X
25.5%
2
23.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 11 books
1
1.85
William Hill
X
3.75
BetVictor
2
3.95
Dafabet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Esberg 🇩🇰
W-D-L 3-3-4
Scored 1.81
Conceded 1.70
xG 1.52
xGA 1.70
Mafra 🇵🇹
W-D-L 6-3-1
Scored 1.56
Conceded 0.50
xG 1.33
xGA 1.36
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Esberg 🇩🇰
Rating 1600
Mafra 🇵🇹
Rating 1695
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Esberg 🇩🇰
2
:
1
Mafra 🇵🇹
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Esberg 🇩🇰 - Mafra 🇵🇹
Form
1/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.30
Fonbet · line only
X
3.75
Fonbet · line only
1
1.77
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.22
Fonbet · line only
1X
3.15
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.75
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
6.80
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.05
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.95
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
4.40
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.16
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.50
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.40
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.78 56.2% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.83 54.6% |
| Х | 3.56 28.1% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.70 27.0% |
| П2 | 3.87 25.8% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.95 25.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.50 66.7% | 2.20 45.5% |
| yes | 2.40 41.7% | 1.63 61.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% |
| 1x | 1.15 87.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 3.15 31.8% |
| x2 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.03 97.1% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_1 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 0_3 | 55.00 1.8% |
| 0_4 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_4 | 80.00 1.3% |
| 1_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
Match center
Esberg 🇩🇰
W
Esberg 🇩🇰
2:0
Orkhus Fremad 🇩🇰
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyEsberg 🇩🇰 - Mafra 🇵🇹
Esberg 🇩🇰
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals