Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
03.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Farul 🇷🇴 - Otelul Galati

Futbol
F
Farul 🇷🇴
0 : 0
Finished
O
Otelul Galati

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Farul 🇷🇴 - Otelul Galati July 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Farul 🇷🇴. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / X 3.25 / 2 3.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 40.9%
X 28.3%
2 30.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 10 books
1 2.31 1xBet
X 3.25 BetVictor
2 3.10 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Farul 🇷🇴
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.38 Conceded 1.72 xG 1.30 xGA 1.37
Otelul Galati
W-D-L 5-5-0 Scored 1.88 Conceded 0.74 xG 1.24 xGA 1.24

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Farul 🇷🇴
Rating 1499
Otelul Galati
Rating 1745

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Farul 🇷🇴 - Otelul Galati

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.00 Fonbet · line only
X 3.25 Fonbet · line only
1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.35 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.23 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.70 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.13 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.02 49.5% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.18 84.8% 1.27 78.7% 1.35 74.1%
x2 1.55 64.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.57 63.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.91 34.4%
X 2.04 49.0%
3.76 26.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.92 52.1%
Under 1 1.79 55.9%