Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
11.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Fleri-Merozhi 🇫🇷 - Nant 🇫🇷

Futbol
F
Fleri-Merozhi 🇫🇷
0 : 5
Finished
N
Nant 🇫🇷

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fleri-Merozhi 🇫🇷 - Nant 🇫🇷 11 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nant 🇫🇷.

Line favourite market consensus: Nant 🇫🇷. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.47 / X 3.75 / 2 1.65
  • 1X2 market: Fleri-Merozhi 🇫🇷 20.4% / X 24.3% / Nant 🇫🇷 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 20.4%
X 24.3%
2 55.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 11 books
1 4.60 Marathonbet
X 3.90 Betfair
2 1.71 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Fleri-Merozhi 🇫🇷
W-D-L 0-3-4 Scored 1.03 Conceded 1.91 xG 0.96 xGA 1.46
Nant 🇫🇷
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.49 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.39 xGA 1.14 Corners 4.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Fleri-Merozhi 🇫🇷
Rating 1483
Nant 🇫🇷
Rating 1586

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Fleri-Merozhi 🇫🇷 3 : 0 Nant 🇫🇷
14.60
X3.84
21.70

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Fleri-Merozhi 🇫🇷 - Nant 🇫🇷

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X 3.75 market consensus · line only
1 4.49 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 8.50 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 6.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 4.40 22.7% 4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2%
Х 3.70 27.0% 3.84 26.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.75 26.7%
П2 1.60 62.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.11 90.1% 2.09 47.9%
yes 5.10 19.6% 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0% 1.01 99.0%
1x 2.17 46.1% 8.50 11.8%
x2 1.15 87.0% 1.06 94.3%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 11.00 9.1%
0_1 7.00 14.3%
0_2 7.50 13.3%
0_3 11.00 9.1%
0_4 21.00 4.8%
0_5 51.00 2.0%
0_6 101.00 1.0%
1_0 13.00 7.7%
1_1 6.50 15.4%
1_2 6.50 15.4%
1_3 10.00 10.0%
1_4 19.00 5.3%
1_5 41.00 2.4%
1_6 91.00 1.1%
2_0 23.00 4.4%
2_1 12.00 8.3%
2_2 12.00 8.3%
2_3 17.00 5.9%