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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
11.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
11.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Fortuna Sittard - Genk 🇧🇪

Futbol
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 0
Finished
G
Genk 🇧🇪

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fortuna Sittard - Genk 🇧🇪 11 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fortuna Sittard.

Line favourite market consensus: Fortuna Sittard. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.46 / X 3.56 / 2 2.52
  • 1X2 market: Fortuna Sittard 37.5% / X 25.9% / Genk 🇧🇪 36.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 37.5%
X 25.9%
2 36.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Fortuna Sittard 0 : 1 Genk 🇧🇪
13.00
X3.58
22.21

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Fortuna Sittard - Genk 🇧🇪

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.50 Fonbet · line only
X 3.75 Fonbet · line only
1 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.27 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.20 Fonbet · line only
X2 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.52 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
П1 2.51 39.8% 2.38 42.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.51 39.8%
Х 3.62 27.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.62 27.6%
П2 2.52 39.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.52 39.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.00 33.3% 2.27 44.1%
yes 1.35 74.1% 1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7%
1x 1.50 66.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.20 83.3%
x2 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0% 2.05 48.8%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 9.00 11.1%
0_1 9.00 11.1%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 12.00 8.3%
0_3 21.00 4.8%
0_4 60.00 1.7%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 9.00 11.1%
1_1 6.50 15.4%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 8.50 11.8%
1_3 15.00 6.7%
1_4 41.00 2.4%
1_5 80.00 1.3%
Match center
Fortuna Sittard
W
03.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Fortuna Sittard 1:0 K. Lierse S.K. 🇧🇪
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Genk 🇧🇪
W W
08.07 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Genk 🇧🇪 2:1 Beveren 🇧🇪
04.07 09:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Genk 🇧🇪 5:1 Endrakht Termin 🇧🇪
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points