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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
03.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
03.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

Fortuna Sittard - K. Lierse S.K. 🇧🇪

Futbol
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 0
Finished
K
K. Lierse S.K. 🇧🇪

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fortuna Sittard - K. Lierse S.K. 🇧🇪 July 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Fortuna Sittard. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / X 7.70 / 2 4.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 32.1%
1 73.5%
X 9.8%
2 16.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Fortuna Sittard - K. Lierse S.K. 🇧🇪

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.55 market consensus · line only
X 7.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.18 84.8% 2.51 39.8%
yes 4.10 24.4% 1.49 67.1%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.05 95.2%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 8.50 11.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.12 47.2%
X 2.41 41.5%
4.68 21.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.08 48.1%
Under 1.5 1.67 59.9%