Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
15.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Frederisiya 🇩🇰 - Mafra 🇵🇹

Futbol
F
Frederisiya 🇩🇰
3 : 2
Finished
M
Mafra 🇵🇹

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Frederisiya 🇩🇰 - Mafra 🇵🇹 15 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Frederisiya 🇩🇰.

Line favourite market consensus: Frederisiya 🇩🇰. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.82 / X 3.69 / 2 3.46
  • 1X2 market: Frederisiya 🇩🇰 49.5% / X 24.4% / Mafra 🇵🇹 26.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.9%
1 49.5%
X 24.4%
2 26.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Frederisiya 🇩🇰 2 : 1 Mafra 🇵🇹
11.78
X3.66
23.75

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Frederisiya 🇩🇰 - Mafra 🇵🇹

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
X 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.90 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 3.60 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.90 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.22 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 1.85 54.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
Х 3.65 27.4% 3.68 27.2% 3.70 27.0% 3.65 27.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3%
П2 3.30 30.3% 3.73 26.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3% 2.90 34.5%
1x 1.16 86.2% 1.22 82.0% 1.06 94.3%
x2 1.80 55.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.20 83.3%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 13.00 7.7%
0_1 12.00 8.3%
0_2 17.00 5.9%
0_3 34.00 2.9%
0_4 76.00 1.3%
1_0 9.00 11.1%
1_1 6.50 15.4%
1_2 10.00 10.0%
1_3 21.00 4.8%
1_4 51.00 2.0%
1_5 126.00 0.8%
2_0 9.50 10.5%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 10.00 10.0%
2_3 21.00 4.8%
2_4 51.00 2.0%
2_5 126.00 0.8%
3_0 15.00 6.7%
Match center
Frederisiya 🇩🇰
W
04.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Frederisiya 🇩🇰 3:1 Kholshtayn Kil 🇩🇪Kholshtayn Kil 🇩🇪
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Mafra 🇵🇹
W
11.07 09:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Mafra 🇵🇹 2:0 Esberg 🇩🇰
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points