Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
11.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Gerta II 🇩🇪 - Ratenov 🇩🇪

Futbol
G
Gerta II 🇩🇪
3 : 0
Finished
R
Ratenov 🇩🇪

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gerta II 🇩🇪 - Ratenov 🇩🇪 11 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Gerta II 🇩🇪. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 7.20 / 2 5.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 30.8%
1 75.7%
X 10.6%
2 13.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Gerta II 🇩🇪 3 : 1 Ratenov 🇩🇪
11.35
X5.00
26.22

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Gerta II 🇩🇪 - Ratenov 🇩🇪

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.55 market consensus · line only
X 7.20 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 2.63 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.40 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.08 92.6%
yes 5.90 17.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.08 92.6% 1.13 88.5% 1.06 94.3%
1x 1.06 94.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.02 98.0%
x2 2.50 40.0% 2.75 36.4% 12.00 8.3%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -1 1.50 66.7%
П1 -1.5 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 1.02 98.0%
П1 -2 2.50 40.0%
П1 -2.5 2.02 49.5%
П1 -3 4.40 22.7%
П2 +1.5 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 9.50 10.5%
П2 -1 2.40 41.7%
П2 -1.5 10.00 10.0%
П2 -2 1.47 68.0%
П2 -2.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -3 1.16 86.2%
П2 -3.5 1.06 94.3%
П2 -4.5 1.01 99.0%
П2 0 10.50 9.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 1 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.5 1.16 86.2%
ТБ 2 1.15 87.0%
ТБ 2.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 3 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 3.5 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 5.50 18.2%
ТБ 4 2.60 38.5%
ТБ 4.5 10.00 10.0%
ТБ 5 4.90 20.4%
ТБ 5.5 11.50 8.7%
ТБ 6.5 5.70 17.5%
ТМ 1 11.00 9.1%
ТМ 1.5 4.40 22.7%
ТМ 2 4.40 22.7%
ТМ 3.5 1.66 60.2% 1.68 59.5%
Match center
Gerta II 🇩🇪
L
04.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Gerta II 🇩🇪 1:3 Energi 🇩🇪Energi 🇩🇪
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Ratenov 🇩🇪
D L
08.07 14:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Ratenov 🇩🇪 1:1 Lukkenvalde 🇩🇪Lukkenvalde 🇩🇪
04.07 11:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Ratenov 🇩🇪 2:12 Union Berlin 🇩🇪
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
6.5 Conceded
1 Points