UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Gumenne 🇸🇰 - Stropkov 🇸🇰
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1Gumenne 🇸🇰 — 73%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Gumenne 🇸🇰 - Stropkov 🇸🇰 July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / X 6.60 / 2 8.70
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Gumenne 🇸🇰 - Stropkov 🇸🇰
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.53 39.5% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.48 67.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.08 92.6% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 7.80 12.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.52 65.8% | |
| X | 3.36 29.8% |
| 6.90 14.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 2 | 2.11 47.4% |
| Under 2 | 1.65 60.6% |
Full head-to-head historyGumenne 🇸🇰 - Stropkov 🇸🇰