Match center
Start
04.07.2026 13:00 UTC
04.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished
World: Club Friendlies
Jagiellonia Bialystok - Pogon Sedltse 🇵🇱
4
:
1
Finished
P
Pogon Sedltse 🇵🇱
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 «Confident pick»
1Jagiellonia Bialystok — 72%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Jagiellonia Bialystok - Pogon Sedltse 🇵🇱 July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Line favourite market consensus: Jagiellonia Bialystok. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / X 5.44 / 2 8.09
- 1X2 market: Jagiellonia Bialystok 72.2% / X 16.6% / Pogon Sedltse 🇵🇱 11.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.7%
1
72.2%
X
16.6%
2
11.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 9 books
1
1.29
William Hill
X
5.75
BetVictor
2
9.50
BetVictor
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Jagiellonia Bialystok
W-D-L 5-2-3
Scored 2.28
Conceded 1.45
xG 1.65
xGA 1.70
Pogon Sedltse 🇵🇱
W-D-L 2-3-5
Scored 1.40
Conceded 1.93
xG 1.30
xGA 1.79
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Rating 1593
Pogon Sedltse 🇵🇱
Rating 1420
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Jagiellonia Bialystok - Pogon Sedltse 🇵🇱
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.11
market consensus · line only
X
8.00
Fonbet · line only
1
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.03
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.06
Fonbet · line only
X2
6.00
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
4.80
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.13
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.33
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.90
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
9.00
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% |
| Х | 5.10 19.6% | 5.45 18.4% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.40 18.5% | 6.00 16.7% | 5.75 17.4% |
| П2 | 8.80 11.4% | 7.65 13.1% | 8.00 12.5% | 7.30 13.7% | 9.00 11.1% | 9.50 10.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 9.00 11.1% | 2.05 48.8% |
| yes | 1.03 97.1% | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.03 97.1% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.03 97.1% |
| 1x | — | 1.03 97.1% | 1.06 94.3% |
| x2 | 3.20 31.3% | 3.60 27.8% | 6.00 16.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.73 57.8% |
| Х | 2.70 37.0% |
| П2 | 6.60 15.2% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyJagiellonia Bialystok - Pogon Sedltse 🇵🇱
Jagiellonia Bialystok
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals