Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
09.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Karlsrue 🇩🇪 - Frayberg 🇩🇪

Futbol
K
Karlsrue 🇩🇪
4 : 4
Finished
F
Frayberg 🇩🇪

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Karlsrue 🇩🇪 - Frayberg 🇩🇪 9 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Karlsrue 🇩🇪. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.22 / X 6.70 / 2 9.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 75.9%
X 13.8%
2 10.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Karlsrue 🇩🇪
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.38 Conceded 1.75 xG 1.39 xGA 1.60
Frayberg 🇩🇪
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 3.09 Conceded 1.52

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Karlsrue 🇩🇪
Rating 1645
Frayberg 🇩🇪
Rating 1758

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Karlsrue 🇩🇪 2 : 2 Frayberg 🇩🇪
11.20
X6.63
27.95

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 09.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Karlsrue 🇩🇪 - Frayberg 🇩🇪

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
X 6.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.22 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 3.85 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 3.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.28 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.00 33.3% 3.22 31.1%
yes 1.35 74.1% 1.32 75.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.07 93.5%
1x 1.03 97.1%
x2 3.85 26.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 1.50 66.7%
Х 3.67 27.3%
П2 6.20 16.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 2 1.68 59.5%
ТМ 2 2.06 48.5%
Match center
Frayberg 🇩🇪
D
04.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Frayberg 🇩🇪 2:2 Grossashpakh 🇩🇪
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points