Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
12.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Khemi Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ - Magdeburg πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ

Futbol
K
Khemi Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
1 : 1
Finished
M
Magdeburg πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Khemi Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ - Magdeburg πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ July 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Magdeburg πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ.

Line favourite market consensus: Magdeburg πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.00 / X 6.09 / 2 1.24
  • 1X2 market: Khemi Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ 11.7% / X 15.0% / Magdeburg πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ 73.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 11.4%
X 15.0%
2 73.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 10 books
1 9.10 1xBet
X 6.90 1xBet
2 1.31 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data β€” for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Khemi Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 2.13 Conceded 1.31 xG 1.68 xGA 1.82
Magdeburg πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.94 Conceded 2.20 xG 1.97 xGA 1.13

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Khemi Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
Rating 1686
Magdeburg πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
Rating 1698

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β€” for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction β€’ nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Khemi Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ 2 : 1 Magdeburg πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
18.50
X5.05
21.33

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Khemi Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ - Magdeburg πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ

Form 3/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.65 Fonbet Β· line only
X 3.10 Fonbet Β· line only
1 6.80 Fonbet Β· line only
Double chance
12 1.35 Fonbet Β· line only
1X 2.10 Fonbet Β· line only
X2 1.10 Fonbet Β· line only
Handicap
2 +1 2.20 Fonbet Β· line only
2 0 1.16 Fonbet Β· line only
1 +1 1.60 Fonbet Β· line only
1 0 4.30 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.13 Fonbet Β· line only
Under 2.5 4.80 Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 2.00 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet
7.80 12.8% 8.85 11.3% 7.00 14.3% 7.50 13.3% 9.50 10.5% 8.80 11.4%
X 5.40 18.5% 6.75 14.8% 6.00 16.7% 5.30 18.9% 6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7%
1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.26 79.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.72 58.1% 2.06 48.5%
yes 2.00 50.0% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.02 98.0% 1.07 93.5% 1.35 74.1%
1x 3.45 29.0% 3.90 25.6% 2.10 47.6%
x2 1.01 99.0% 1.05 95.2% 1.10 90.9%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 23.00 4.4%
0_1 9.00 11.1%
0_2 7.00 14.3%
0_3 7.50 13.3%
0_4 10.00 10.0%
0_5 19.00 5.3%
0_6 34.00 2.9%
0_7 71.00 1.4%
0_8 101.00 1.0%
1_0 23.00 4.4%
1_1 10.00 10.0%
1_2 7.50 13.3%
1_3 8.00 12.5%
1_4 11.00 9.1%
1_5 21.00 4.8%
1_6 41.00 2.4%
1_7 76.00 1.3%
1_8 126.00 0.8%
Match center
Khemi Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
W W W
08.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Khemi Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ 2:1 Gannover II πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
04.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Khemi Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ 1:0 Videnbryuk πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
01.07 14:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Khemi Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ 3:1 Aykhshtet πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.7 Conceded
9 Points