Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
09.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Khemnittser 🇩🇪 - Union Berlin 🇩🇪

Futbol
Khemnittser 🇩🇪
Khemnittser 🇩🇪
1 : 1
Finished
U
Union Berlin 🇩🇪

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Khemnittser 🇩🇪 - Union Berlin 🇩🇪 9 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Berlin 🇩🇪.

Line favourite market consensus: Union Berlin 🇩🇪. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 14.32 / X 8.20 / 2 1.11
  • 1X2 market: Khemnittser 🇩🇪 6.5% / X 11.3% / Union Berlin 🇩🇪 82.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 6.4%
X 11.2%
2 82.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 10 books
1 15.00 Marathonbet
X 8.50 Unibet
2 1.20 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Khemnittser 🇩🇪
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 2.29 Conceded 1.13 xG 1.18 xGA 1.68
Union Berlin 🇩🇪
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 3.75 Conceded 0.86 xG 1.59 xGA 1.22

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Khemnittser 🇩🇪
Rating 1765
Union Berlin 🇩🇪
Rating 1784

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Khemnittser 🇩🇪 2 : 2 Union Berlin 🇩🇪
116.00
X8.60
21.12

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 09.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

Khemnittser 🇩🇪 - Union Berlin 🇩🇪

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.30 Fonbet · line only
X 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 4.70 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.23 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet Superbet
П1 14.00 7.1% 16.00 6.3% 14.00 7.1% 15.00 6.7% 16.25 6.2% 12.00 8.3%
Х 6.40 15.6% 8.60 11.6% 8.00 12.5% 9.00 11.1% 8.60 11.6% 8.30 12.1%
П2 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.20 83.3%
yes 3.80 26.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 4.70 21.3%
1x 1.06 94.3%
x2 1.02 98.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 21.00 4.8%
0_1 9.00 11.1%
0_2 6.00 16.7%
0_3 5.75 17.4%
0_4 7.00 14.3%
0_5 11.00 9.1%
0_6 19.00 5.3%
0_7 41.00 2.4%
0_8 76.00 1.3%
1_0 34.00 2.9%
1_1 12.00 8.3%
1_2 9.00 11.1%
1_3 8.50 11.8%
1_4 10.00 10.0%
1_5 17.00 5.9%
1_6 29.00 3.5%
1_7 56.00 1.8%
1_8 101.00 1.0%
Match center
Union Berlin 🇩🇪
W
04.07 11:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Union Berlin 🇩🇪 12:2 Ratenov 🇩🇪
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
12.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points