Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Kishvarda 🇭🇺 - Tatran Preshov 🇸🇰

Futbol
K
Kishvarda 🇭🇺
5 : 0
Finished
T
Tatran Preshov 🇸🇰
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Kishvarda 🇭🇺52%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kishvarda 🇭🇺 - Tatran Preshov 🇸🇰 July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kishvarda 🇭🇺.

Line favourite market consensus: Kishvarda 🇭🇺. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 3.79 / 2 3.89
  • 1X2 market: Kishvarda 🇭🇺 53.0% / X 23.8% / Tatran Preshov 🇸🇰 23.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.9%
1 53.0%
X 23.8%
2 23.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 9 books
1 1.93 Betano
X 3.70 BetVictor
2 3.90 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Kishvarda 🇭🇺
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.33 Conceded 1.29 xG 1.46 xGA 1.36
Tatran Preshov 🇸🇰
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.37 xG 1.48 xGA 1.51

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Kishvarda 🇭🇺
Rating 1493
Tatran Preshov 🇸🇰
Rating 1544

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Kishvarda 🇭🇺 - Tatran Preshov 🇸🇰

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.95 market consensus · line only
X 3.84 market consensus · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.90 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 6.70 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.28 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3%
3.70 27.0% 4.07 24.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.65 27.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.10 24.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.30 76.9% 2.20 45.5%
yes 3.10 32.3% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.11 90.1% 1.19 84.0% 1.02 98.0%
1x 1.11 90.1% 1.19 84.0% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.97 50.8% 2.20 45.5% 6.90 14.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.10 47.6%
X 2.41 41.5%
4.77 21.0%