Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
11.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Komarno 🇸🇰 - Pogrone 🇸🇰

Futbol
K
Komarno 🇸🇰
5 : 0
Finished
P
Pogrone 🇸🇰

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Komarno 🇸🇰 - Pogrone 🇸🇰 11 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Komarno 🇸🇰. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 7.60 / 2 5.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 31.0%
1 75.6%
X 10.0%
2 14.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Komarno 🇸🇰 1 : 1 Pogrone 🇸🇰

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Komarno 🇸🇰 - Pogrone 🇸🇰

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.25 market consensus · line only
X 7.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 2.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.86 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.18 84.8%
yes 4.10 24.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7% 1.19 84.0% 1.06 94.3%
1x 1.07 93.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.02 98.0%
x2 2.20 45.5% 2.40 41.7% 12.00 8.3%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -1 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.70 58.8%
П1 -1.5 1.09 91.7%
П1 -2 3.05 32.8%
П1 -2.5 1.08 92.6%
П2 +1 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%
П2 +1.5 12.00 8.3%
П2 -1 2.02 49.5%
П2 -1.5 5.70 17.5%
П2 -2 1.30 76.9%
П2 -2.5 6.10 16.4%
П2 -3 1.08 92.6%
П2 -3.5 1.35 74.1%
П2 -4.5 1.15 87.0%
П2 -5.5 1.08 92.6%
П2 0 11.50 8.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 0.5 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1 1.04 96.2%
ТБ 1.5 1.20 83.3%
ТБ 2 1.28 78.1%
ТБ 2.5 1.66 60.2% 1.68 59.5% 1.25 80.0%
ТБ 3 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 3.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 4 3.95 25.3%
ТБ 4.5 3.35 29.9%
ТБ 5.5 4.50 22.2%
ТБ 6.5 11.00 9.1%
ТМ 0.5 9.50 10.5%
ТМ 1 8.00 12.5%
ТМ 1.5 3.85 26.0%
ТМ 2.5 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5%
Match center
Komarno 🇸🇰
D L
08.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Komarno 🇸🇰 0:0 Zvolen 🇸🇰
04.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Komarno 🇸🇰 1:3 Vashash 🇭🇺
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points
Pogrone 🇸🇰
W
04.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Pogrone 🇸🇰 4:1 Podkonitse 🇸🇰
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points