Greece. Superleague 1
Greece. Superleague 1
04.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

Greece. Superleague 1

Korrekaminos (Mek) - Chivas Guadalajara

Futbol
K
Korrekaminos (Mek)
0 : 0
Finished
C
Chivas Guadalajara

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Korrekaminos (Mek) - Chivas Guadalajara 4 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Chivas Guadalajara. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.30 / X 3.85 / 2 1.92

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 28.0%
X 24.0%
2 48.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Korrekaminos (Mek) - Chivas Guadalajara

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.92 Fonbet · line only
X 3.85 Fonbet · line only
1 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.22 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.78 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.11 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.48 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.55 39.2%
yes 1.45 69.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.78 56.2%
x2 1.30 76.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 +1 1.47 68.0%
П1 +1.5 1.32 75.8%
П1 +2 1.14 87.7%
П1 +2.5 1.11 90.1%
П1 +3 1.05 95.2%
П1 -1 5.10 19.6%
П1 -1.5 5.80 17.2%
П1 0 2.45 40.8%
П2 +1 2.50 40.0%
П2 +1.5 3.00 33.3%
П2 +2 4.70 21.3%
П2 +2.5 5.30 18.9%
П2 +3 7.10 14.1%
П2 -1 1.11 90.1%
П2 -1.5 1.09 91.7%
П2 0 1.48 67.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 3 1.78 56.2%
ТБ 3.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 4 3.10 32.3%
ТБ 4.5 3.75 26.7%
ТБ 5 5.70 17.5%
ТБ 5.5 6.50 15.4%
ТМ 3 1.92 52.1%
ТМ 3.5 1.60 62.5%
ТМ 4 1.32 75.8%
ТМ 4.5 1.23 81.3%
ТМ 5 1.09 91.7%
ТМ 5.5 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Korrekaminos (Mek)
L
01.07 18:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Korrekaminos (Mek) 3:6 Nekaksa (Mek)
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
6.0 Conceded
0 Points