UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

Krakoviya 🇵🇱 - Istanbul Basaksehir

Futbol
K
Krakoviya 🇵🇱
3 : 1
Finished
Istanbul Basaksehir
Istanbul Basaksehir

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Krakoviya 🇵🇱 - Istanbul Basaksehir July 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Krakoviya 🇵🇱. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / X 3.35 / 2 8.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 40.4%
1 69.8%
X 21.3%
2 8.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Krakoviya 🇵🇱
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 2
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Istanbul Basaksehir
No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Krakoviya 🇵🇱 - Istanbul Basaksehir

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.00 Fonbet · line only
X 3.35 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.32 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.09 Fonbet · line only
X2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 6.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.80 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.50 28.6% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.25 80.0% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.09 91.7%
x2 10.00 10.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.90 17.0%
X 2.72 36.8%
1.78 56.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.98 50.5%
Under 1.5 1.74 57.5%
Match center
Krakoviya 🇵🇱
L
03.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Krakoviya 🇵🇱 1:2 Pafos (Kip)
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points