UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Krakoviya 🇵🇱 - Istanbul Basaksehir
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Krakoviya 🇵🇱 - Istanbul Basaksehir July 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / X 3.35 / 2 8.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
- Rest days: 2
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Krakoviya 🇵🇱 - Istanbul Basaksehir
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 3.50 28.6% | 2.05 48.8% |
| yes | 1.25 80.0% | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 10.00 10.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.90 17.0% | |
| X | 2.72 36.8% |
| 1.78 56.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.98 50.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.74 57.5% |
Full head-to-head historyKrakoviya 🇵🇱 - Istanbul Basaksehir