UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
03.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

Krakoviya 🇵🇱 - Pafos (Kip)

Futbol
K
Krakoviya 🇵🇱
1 : 2
Finished
P
Pafos (Kip)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Krakoviya 🇵🇱 - Pafos (Kip) July 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pafos (Kip).

Line favourite market consensus: Pafos (Kip). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.67 / X 3.42 / 2 2.27
  • 1X2 market: Krakoviya 🇵🇱 33.8% / X 26.4% / Pafos (Kip) 39.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7%
1 33.8%
X 26.4%
2 39.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 10 books
1 2.80 William Hill
X 3.50 Dafabet
2 2.35 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Krakoviya 🇵🇱
W-D-L 2-5-3 Scored 1.49 Conceded 1.48 xG 2.02 xGA 1.14
Pafos (Kip)
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.55 Conceded 1.17 xG 2.79 xGA 0.54 Corners 3.6

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Krakoviya 🇵🇱 - Pafos (Kip)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X 5.90 Fonbet · line only
1 2.68 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1X 8.00 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 4.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet
2.50 40.0% 2.74 36.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.67 37.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.80 35.7%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.46 28.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.35 29.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6%
2.30 43.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.10 47.6% 2.33 42.9%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.09 91.7%
1x 8.00 12.5%
x2 1.03 97.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.43 29.2%
X 2.22 45.1%
2.79 35.8%