Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
08.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Likhtenberg 🇩🇪 - Hertha Berlin

Futbol
L
Likhtenberg 🇩🇪
0 : 9
Finished
H
Hertha Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Likhtenberg 🇩🇪 - Hertha Berlin 8 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Hertha Berlin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / X 15.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 12.3%
1 5.9%
X 5.9%
2 88.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Likhtenberg 🇩🇪
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.46 Conceded 2.37 xG 1.28 xGA 2.42
Hertha Berlin
W-D-L 7-2-1 Scored 3.79 Conceded 0.76 xG 1.65 xGA 1.20

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Likhtenberg 🇩🇪
Rating 1452
Hertha Berlin
Rating 1803

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Likhtenberg 🇩🇪 2 : 2 Hertha Berlin
113.20
X15.50
21.05

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 08.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

Likhtenberg 🇩🇪 - Hertha Berlin

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X 8.40 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 4.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 7.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Yes 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.03 97.1% 1.91 52.4%
yes 8.50 11.8% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
1x 4.90 20.4% 11.00 9.1% 11.00 9.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 22.10 4.5%
Х 5.30 18.9%
П2 1.16 86.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 0.5 1.06 94.3%
ТБ 2 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 2.5 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 0.5 7.30 13.7%
ТМ 2 2.00 50.0%
ТМ 2.5 1.83 54.6%
Match center
Hertha Berlin
W
04.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Hertha Berlin 15:0 Frohnauer 🇩🇪
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
15.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points