Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
03.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 - Spartak Kostroma 🇷🇺

Futbol
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺
2 : 0
Finished
S
Spartak Kostroma 🇷🇺
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺72%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 - Spartak Kostroma 🇷🇺 July 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺.

Line favourite market consensus: Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.24 / X 6.05 / 2 10.63
  • 1X2 market: Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 75.7% / X 15.5% / Spartak Kostroma 🇷🇺 8.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 75.7%
X 15.5%
2 8.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 2 books
1 1.24 1xBet
X 6.05 Marathonbet
2 10.75 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 2.19 Conceded 0.90 xG 2.23 xGA 1.04
Spartak Kostroma 🇷🇺
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.59 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.14 xGA 1.94

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺
Rating 1701
Spartak Kostroma 🇷🇺
Rating 1606

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 - Spartak Kostroma 🇷🇺

Итоговый протокол and результаты встречи Локомотив М - Спартак Кс, 3 июля 2026. Обзор and статистика matches, точный счет. Клубные товарищеские матчи 2026. Локомотив М - Спартак Кс, кто победил, онлайн трансляция matches.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.22 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 3.85 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.95 Fonbet · line only
2 0 7.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.33 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet
1.24 80.7% 1.23 81.3%
X 6.05 16.5% 6.05 16.5%
10.50 9.5% 10.75 9.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5%
yes 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.08 92.6% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9%
1x 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
x2 3.70 27.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.85 26.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.62 61.7%
X 2.76 36.2%
8.30 12.1%
Match center
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺
W
03.07 06:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 8:0 Znamya Truda 🇷🇺
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
8.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Spartak Kostroma 🇷🇺
L
02.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Spartak Kostroma 🇷🇺 0:1 Spartak Moskva 🇷🇺
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Spartak Kostroma 🇷🇺
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 Team comparison Spartak Kostroma 🇷🇺
10 Games 1
7 Wins 0
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
30 Scored 0
9 Conceded 1
23 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
еждения 2 0.1 Sendoffs 0 Голы Алексей Батраков 1:0 40' Михаил Щетинин Сергей Пиняев 2:0 58'

Локомотив М Спартак Кс 10 Игры 1 7 Победы 0 2 Ничьи 0 1 Поражения 1 30 Забито 0 9 Пропущено 1 23 Очки 0 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 0 Удары по воротам 0 0 Удары в створ 0 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 0 Угловые 0 0 Оффсайды 0 0 Фолы 0 0 % владения мячом 0 0.8 Warnings 2 0.1 Sendoffs 0 Голы Алексей Батраков 1:0 40' Михаил Щетинин Сергей Пиняев 2:0 58'