Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
11.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Machva 🇷🇸 - Loznitsa 🇷🇸

Futbol
M
Machva 🇷🇸
0 : 0
Finished
L
Loznitsa 🇷🇸

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Machva 🇷🇸 - Loznitsa 🇷🇸 11 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.18 / X 1.40 / 2 9.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 27.8%
1 35.9%
X 55.9%
2 8.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Machva 🇷🇸 - Loznitsa 🇷🇸

Form 2/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
X 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 2.18 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.70 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 2.70 37.0%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.60 62.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -1.5 3.55 28.2%
П1 0 1.17 85.5%
П2 -1.5 1.25 80.0%
П2 0 4.40 22.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 0.5 3.00 33.3%
ТБ 1.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 2.5 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 3.5 2.20 45.5%
ТМ 0.5 1.33 75.2%
ТМ 1.5 1.53 65.4%
ТМ 2.5 1.48 67.6%
ТМ 3.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 2.18 45.9%
Х 1.40 71.4%
П2 9.50 10.5%
Match center
Machva 🇷🇸
L W
05.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Machva 🇷🇸 1:2 Mladost 🇷🇸
01.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Machva 🇷🇸 2:1 Novi Pazar 🇷🇸
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points