Greece. Superleague 1
Greece. Superleague 1
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Greece. Superleague 1

Mladost 🇷🇸 - Machva 🇷🇸

Futbol
M
Mladost 🇷🇸
2 : 1
Finished
M
Machva 🇷🇸

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mladost 🇷🇸 - Machva 🇷🇸 5 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mladost 🇷🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 6.00 / 2 1.89

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 68.6%
1 58.7%
X 9.9%
2 31.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Mladost 🇷🇸
Well rested
  • Rest days: 4
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Machva 🇷🇸
Well rested
  • Rest days: 4
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Mladost 🇷🇸 - Machva 🇷🇸

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.89 market consensus · line only
X 6.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.20 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.49 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.45 40.8% 2.54 39.4%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.09 91.7%
1x 1.20 83.3%
x2 9.00 11.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 3.53 28.3%
Х 2.59 38.6%
П2 2.32 43.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 1.5 1.91 52.4%
ТМ 1.5 1.79 55.9%
Match center
Mladost 🇷🇸
L
01.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Mladost 🇷🇸 0:1 Novi Belgrad 🇷🇸
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Machva 🇷🇸
W
01.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Machva 🇷🇸 2:1 Novi Pazar 🇷🇸
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points